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Inflation slows in four German states in May, pointing to national decrease

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 29, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: May 29, 2026

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Inflation Slows Across Key German States in May 2024 Amid Energy Price Pressures

By Maria Martinez

German State Inflation Trends and National Outlook

Inflation Rates Decline in Major German States

BERLIN, May 29 (Reuters) - Inflation fell in four key German states in May, preliminary data showed on Friday, suggesting Germany's national inflation rate could ease this month despite higher energy prices due to the Iran war.

State-by-State Breakdown

In Bavaria, the inflation rate fell to 2.6% in May from 2.9% in April. In North Rhine-Westphalia, it decreased to 2.4% from 2.7%, in Baden-Wuerttemberg to 2.4% from 2.6% and in Lower Saxony it fell to 2.7% from 3.0%.

Impact of Energy Prices and Government Forecasts

The war in Iran had pushed up energy and raw material prices in previous months and the German government now expects inflation to accelerate to 2.7% this year and 2.8% in 2027.

Economist Projections

Economists polled by Reuters are forecasting a harmonised national inflation rate in Germany - the euro zone's largest economy - of 2.8% in May, down from 2.9% in the previous month.

Upcoming National Data Release

National figures will be released later on Friday.

Euro Zone Inflation and ECB Policy Response

The German data comes ahead of the euro zone inflation release on Tuesday. Inflation in the bloc is expected to come in at 3.3% in May, up from 3.0% in the previous month, according to economists polled by Reuters.

European Central Bank's Stance

The European Central Bank kept interest rates on hold at its meeting in April, but a further increase in inflation is making it very likely that the bank will follow up its earlier warnings with actual policy action next month.

(Reporting by Maria MartinezEditing by Madeline Chambers)

Key Takeaways

  • Regional inflation drops across four major German states suggest Germany’s national HICP inflation may ease in May, possibly to around 2.8%, down from April’s 2.9%.
  • The German economy ministry projects inflation at 2.7% in 2026 and 2.8% in 2027, reflecting energy and raw material price pressures from the Iran conflict. (investing.com)
  • Euro‑zone inflation is expected to rise to approximately 3.3% in May—up from around 3.0% in April—raising the likelihood of ECB tightening. (oecd.org)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Which German states saw a decrease in inflation in May 2024?
Bavaria, North Rhine-Westphalia, Baden-Wuerttemberg, and Lower Saxony reported lower inflation rates in May 2024.
What is the expected national inflation rate for Germany in May 2024?
Economists forecast a harmonised national inflation rate for Germany of 2.8% in May 2024, down from 2.9% in April.
How have energy prices impacted German inflation rates?
Previous months saw higher energy prices due to the Iran war, which pushed up inflation rates in Germany.
What is the expected inflation rate for the euro zone in May 2024?
The euro zone inflation rate is expected to reach 3.3% in May, up from 3.0% in the previous month.
How has the European Central Bank responded to rising inflation?
The ECB kept interest rates on hold in April, but rising inflation may prompt policy action next month.

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