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Germany's ageing population pushes social spending to record high, Ifo says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Germany's ageing population pushes social spending to record high, Ifo says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 24, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: August 24, 2026

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Germany's Ageing Population Drives Record Social Spending, Ifo Study Finds

Record Social Spending in Germany: Key Findings and Drivers

BERLIN, Aug 24 (Reuters) - Combined spending related to old age and illness accounted for around 70% of total social spending in Germany last year, pushing the social budget to a new record high, according to an analysis by the Ifo institute published on Monday.

Major Contributors to Social Spending Increase

• Spending related to old age and illness accounted was responsible for over 80% of the real increase in spending since 1992, the analysis found

Demographic Change as a Structural Cost Driver

• The key structural cost driver behind this trend is demographic change, which is exacerbating the shift in the welfare state burden between generations

Impact of Economic Factors

• “The social budget is growing faster than GDP, which is why the weak economy is also contributing to the increase in the social budget share,” said Ifo researcher Emilie Hoeslinger

Statistical Overview of Social Spending Growth

• According to the analysis, social spending rose by 11.5%, or €104 billion ($121.33 billion), between 2019 and 2025, adjusted for price effects

• During this period, the social budget share reached a new record high, rising from 29.6% to 32%

Main Cost Drivers Identified

• The main cost drivers are the additional spending for the insured elderly population on illness and care, as well as higher federal pension payments

Currency Exchange Rate

($1 = 0.8572 euros)

(Reporting by Maria Martinez, Editing by Friederike Heine)

Key Takeaways

  • Old‑age and illness‑related costs made up ~70 % of Germany’s social spending in 2025, per Ifo Institute analysis (ifo.de).
  • Since 1992, these two categories account for over 80 % of the real increase in social spending (ifo.de).
  • Between 2019 and 2025 (price‑adjusted), social spending rose by €104 billion (+11.5 %), taking the social budget share from 29.6 % to a record 32 % of GDP (ifo.de)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage of Germany's social spending was related to old age and illness in 2023?
Around 70% of Germany's total social spending was related to old age and illness last year.
What is the main reason for the increase in Germany's social budget?
The main driver is demographic change, with an ageing population increasing costs related to illness and pensions.
How much did Germany's social spending rise between 2019 and 2025?
Social spending rose by 11.5%, or €104 billion, between 2019 and 2025, adjusted for price effects.
How has the share of the social budget changed recently in Germany?
The social budget share increased from 29.6% to a record 32% over the assessed period.
Who conducted the analysis of Germany’s social spending trends?
The analysis was conducted by the Ifo institute.

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