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UniCredit posts better than expected results after Commerzbank bid - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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UniCredit posts better than expected results after Commerzbank bid

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 23, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: July 23, 2026

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UniCredit open to concessions in Commerzbank talks as it raises profit outlook

UniCredit’s Strategic Moves and Financial Performance

By Valentina Za

Background of UniCredit’s Stake in Commerzbank

MILAN, July 23 (Reuters) - UniCredit wants talks with the German government and Commerzbank workers' representatives after securing 48% of the German lender, CEO Andrea Orcel said after the Italian bank posted strong results and raised profit guidance.

UniCredit first invested in Commerzbank in 2024, sparking a backlash in Germany. Berlin has rejected UniCredit's approach as hostile and backed Commerzbank's quest to remain independent.

Statements from Leadership

"I think the good news about the refusal of Commerzbank to engage is that we didn't make any concessions," Orcel told CNBC television.

Commerzbank CEO Bettina Orlopp has repeatedly said she had personally conveyed to UniCredit a willingness to open talks. 

"We got to control potentially without making any concession, as you usually would in a transaction. So now we are quite open," Orcel said. 

Financial Results and Outlook

Second-Quarter Earnings and Profit Guidance

UniCredit on Thursday posted better than expected second-quarter earnings, helped by strong fee income, and improved its profit outlook for 2026 and 2028.

It cancelled a planned €4.75 billion ($5.43 billion) share buyback that had been put on hold pending the outcome of the bid and said the investment in Commerzbank would return 15%, more than the buyback.

Share Buybacks and Returns

Since his arrival at UniCredit in 2021, Orcel has bet heavily on share buybacks to lift its share price. Returns on share buybacks decline as the stock price rises.

Net Profit and Future Expectations

Net profit for the April-June period rose to €2.9 billion, ahead of a €2.8 billion average analyst forecast gathered by the bank.

UniCredit now expects 2026 income comfortably above €11 billion, compared with previous guidance for a result in line or above that figure. It says it will rise to significantly more than €13 billion in 2028. That is before any integration costs and the full consolidation of Commerzbank, it said.

Capital Position and Authorisations

UniCredit's buyback cancellation will allow the Italian bank to keep its core capital at 13% of assets at the end of the year despite the hit from consolidating Commerzbank into its accounts, after the bid resulted in a bigger stake than anticipated.

Orcel said all relevant authorisations to that end could arrive in the fourth quarter, earlier than expected.

(Reporting by Valentina ZaEditing by David Goodman)

Key Takeaways

  • UniCredit’s H1 2026 net profit of €2.9 billion beats €2.8 billion consensus forecast (unicreditgroup.eu)
  • Upgraded 2026 income guidance now well above €11 billion, versus prior guidance at or above that level (unicreditgroup.eu)
  • UniCredit projects a 15 % return on its Commerzbank investment, following its recent acquisition of a 48 % stake amid German backlash and regulatory scrutiny (unicreditgroup.eu)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How did UniCredit perform in the latest quarter?
UniCredit posted a net profit of €2.9 billion for the April-June period, ahead of analyst forecasts.
What is UniCredit's outlook for 2026 income?
UniCredit now expects its 2026 income to be well above €11 billion, improving from earlier guidance.
What was UniCredit's return expectation on its Commerzbank investment?
UniCredit expects its investment in Commerzbank to return 15%.
How much of Commerzbank does UniCredit currently own?
UniCredit currently owns 48% of Commerzbank's share capital after its recent offer.
When did UniCredit first invest in Commerzbank?
UniCredit first invested in Commerzbank in 2024, which initially sparked backlash in Germany.

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