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Rheinmetall scales down 2026 sales outlook on scrapped frigate programme - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Rheinmetall scales down 2026 sales outlook on scrapped frigate programme

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 6, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: August 6, 2026

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Rheinmetall cuts outlook after frigate setback but sticks to naval goals

Rheinmetall's Financial Outlook and Strategic Focus

By Miranda Murray and Matthias Inverardi

BERLIN, Aug 6 (Reuters) - German defence company Rheinmetall cut its 2026 sales outlook on Thursday but stood by its long-term naval ambitions after the German government scrapped a delayed frigate programme that the company had been widely expected to win.

Rheinmetall now expects sales in the range of €13.7 billion to €14.2 billion ($15.8 billion to $16.4 billion), down from €14.0 billion to €14.5 billion previously, reflecting a €300 million hit to its naval division.

Its shares were down about 5.5% at 1422 GMT.

Confidence in Strategy Despite Setbacks

CONFIDENT ABOUT STRATEGY

Rheinmetall has seen its fortunes soar with Europe's renewed interest in building up its defences after Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, with Europe's largest ammunition maker targeting annual sales of up to €50 billion by 2030. 

That momentum suffered a setback in June when Berlin scrapped its F126 programme. 

While acknowledging Rheinmetall could not fully offset the loss in the short term, Chief Executive Armin Papperger said on Thursday that the company remained committed to its naval strategy.

He added that Rheinmetall expected to replace the business over time through domestic and international programmes.

JPMorgan analysts said they had expected the cancelled frigate programme to have made more of an impact beyond 2026. 

Naval Revenue Goals and Recent Acquisitions

STICKING WITH NAVAL REVENUE TARGET

The company completed the acquisition in March of the warship division of German shipbuilder Luerssen as part of its ambitions to become a bigger player in the naval sector.

It has also been considering acquiring German Naval Yards Kiel and promised to reach a final decision within weeks after a rival bidder withdrew from the process last month. 

Rheinmetall's naval division has already secured orders from Romania, reporting total order intake of around €1 billion in the first half of the year. 

Papperger stuck with a target of reaching €5 billion in annual naval revenue by 2030.

Beyond Naval: Land Systems Opportunities

BEYOND THE SEA

Beyond the naval business, Papperger pointed to several major land systems opportunities, including the Boxer wheeled armoured vehicle programme.

He said Rheinmetall expected a decision from Germany by year-end and viewed a €12.4 billion vehicle contract and a roughly €2 billion service agreement as effectively certain.

Papperger stressed that the Boxer programme should not be compared with the F126 project, arguing that the latter was derailed by liability issues rather than funding constraints.

Rheinmetall had reported a nearly 70% jump in second-quarter sales to about €3.3 billion, with all business segments contributing to the rise, in an unscheduled release last month.

($1 = 0.8663 euros)

(Reporting by Miranda Murray; editing by Linda Pasquini, Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Elaine Hardcastle)

Key Takeaways

  • Cancellation of the F126 frigate programme will leave a revenue gap of up to €300 million, forcing the downward revision of the 2026 sales outlook. (ir.rheinmetall.com)
  • Rheinmetall suspended plans to hire 1,000 personnel for its naval division as a direct consequence of the programme’s termination. (live.euronext.com)
  • The F126 contract cancellation severely dented investor sentiment, triggering a near‑record stock drop and prompting the company to rely on other defence segments to offset the loss. (live.euronext.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Rheinmetall lower its 2026 sales outlook?
Rheinmetall lowered its 2026 sales outlook after the German government scrapped a delayed frigate programme, which the company was expected to win.
What is Rheinmetall's new sales outlook for 2026?
Rheinmetall now expects its 2026 sales to be between €13.7 billion and €14.2 billion.
What was Rheinmetall's previous 2026 sales outlook?
Previously, Rheinmetall expected 2026 sales in the range of €14.0 billion to €14.5 billion.
Who reported the Rheinmetall sales outlook revision?
The sales outlook revision was reported by Miranda Murray and edited by Linda Pasquini.

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