Intel sales, profit forecast beat estimates; company boosts spending plans on AI boom
Intel’s Financial Performance and AI-Driven Growth
By Anhata Rooprai and Stephen Nellis
July 23 (Reuters) - Intel forecast quarterly profit and revenue above estimates on Thursday, pushing its shares up 12% in after-hours trade, and boosted spending plans over the next two years as an AI data center buildout increases demand for its central processing units (CPUs).
The company expects third-quarter revenue between $15.8 billion and $16.8 billion, compared with analysts' average estimate of $15.10 billion, according to data compiled by LSEG. Adjusted profit is expected to be 38 cents per share, compared with analyst estimates of 27 cents.
Agentic AI Fuels CPU Demand
Intel is benefiting from a boom in what is known as agentic AI, where autonomous agents carry out tasks such as computer coding on behalf of human users. Its shares have declined more than 25% from a record close on June 22 amid a broader selloff in chip stocks, though shares remain up more than 170% for the year.
Second Quarter Results
For the second quarter ended June 27, Intel said sales rose 25.4% to $16.13 billion and adjusted profit was 42 cents per share, compared with estimates of $14.42 billion and 21 cents per share. Adjusted gross margin came in at 41.8%, compared with estimates of 38.8%.
AI Data Center Buildout
AGENTIC AI DRIVES CPU DEMAND SURGE
The shift toward AI agents has driven a resurgence of demand for data center CPUs, with Intel's leaders saying earlier this year that it caught them off guard, with demand outstripping the company's ability to manufacture the CPU chips.
Capital Expenditure and Long-Term Agreements
In an interview, Chief Financial Officer David Zinsner told Reuters that booming demand has prompted Intel to raise its capital expenditure forecast for this year from $18 billion to $20 billion. Zinsner also said Intel expects capital expenditures to be "up meaningfully next year" as well.
"That's signaling the confidence around the growth opportunities for the business," Zinsner said.
He also said that Intel has signed a range of long-term agreements with customers for data center CPUs and specialized chips called XPUs. He said the agreements range from three to five years and that some contain both chip volume and price commitments and some contain only volume commitments. But Zinsner also said Intel would remain disciplined about spending.
"You can't completely hang your hat on (long-term agreements) because when things change, a lot of times things get renegotiated," he said. However, "they're not signing those unless they have real confidence around what they're going to invest." He added: "It gives us a pretty good confidence around what we should be planning in terms of output."
Zinsner said Intel has about $30 billion in cash and a $10 billion line of credit but that a share sale, while currently not authorized, is not out of the question.
"I wouldn't (dismiss) the possibility that we would do that. But no specific plans at this point," he said.
CEO Strategy and Market Competition
The results vindicate CEO Lip-Bu Tan's costly strategy to regain technology leadership and compete with rivals like Nvidia and AMD in the booming market for AI chips. Investors are closely watching Intel's data center and contract manufacturing, or foundry, businesses as key indicators of the turnaround's success.
Data Center and AI Business Performance
For Intel’s data center and AI business, Intel said second-quarter revenue was $6.26 billion, compared with estimates of $5.37 billion.
Also in extended trade, rival chipmakers Arm Holdings and Advanced Micro rallied more than 3% each, and along with Intel they created over $100 billion in stock market value.
Laptop and Desktop Segment
Intel said sales in its laptop and desktop segment were $8.88 billion in the second quarter, compared with estimates of $7.89 billion.
Zinsner said that in the company’s laptop and desktop business, unit sales were down but average prices were up as Intel shifted away from supplying lower-cost chips for entry-level machines and back to chips for higher-end devices.
Contract Manufacturing and Foundry Business
CONTRACT MANUFACTURING GAINS TRACTION
Foundry Business Performance
A key part of Intel's revival strategy is its contract manufacturing, or foundry business. Intel’s foundry business had $5.77 billion in second-quarter sales, compared with analyst estimates of $5.55 billion.
Major Customer Wins
The unit secured Elon Musk's Tesla as a customer for its next-generation 14A process for the "Terafab" AI chip project, bolstering confidence in Intel's efforts to land major buyers.
Expectations of another high-profile win rose in April after U.S. President Donald Trump announced that Apple had agreed to make processors with Intel. Neither company has confirmed the deal.
Competitive Landscape
Nvidia, which dominates the AI accelerator market, is also making a rare move into the CPU space with its "Vera" processor, while Big Tech firms such as Amazon and Alphabet continue to develop their own in-house, Arm-based CPUs.
(Reporting by Anhata Rooprai in Bengaluru and Stephen Nellis and Max A. Cherney in San Francisco; Additional reporting by Noel Randewich in San Francisco; Editing by Sayantani Ghosh and Matthew Lewis)
