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Restoring crude oil market equilibrium will take a year if not longer, Shell CEO says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 10, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: June 10, 2026

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Shell CEO: Restoring Crude Oil Market Equilibrium May Take a Year or Longer

Shell CEO Wael Sawan Discusses Global Crude Oil Market Challenges

LONDON, June 10 (Reuters) - Restoring a balanced crude oil market amid heavy inventory drawdowns will take a year and possibly longer, Shell CEO Wael Sawan said on Wednesday.

Impact of Geopolitical Events on Oil Production

• Sawan told a conference that over 10% of global crude oil production is out due to the Iran war.

China's Role in Energy Imports and Inventories

• Sawan said Chinese energy imports have come down because China could draw on its inventories.

Inventory Drawdowns and Market Deficits

Short-term Relief vs. Long-term Risks

• The Shell CEO said that while inventory drawdowns were helping the global market right now, they amounted to "borrowing from the future" and there was a deficit of 1.2 billion barrels of crude at the moment.

Timeline for Market Equilibrium

• Sawan said that it would take "close to a year, if not longer" for the market to find its equilibrium again, and until then the stress levels would continue in the system "for quite some time."

Shifts in Fuel Production Priorities

Jet Fuel vs. Diesel Production

• The market has encouraged jet fuel production but at some point diesel pricing will mean diesel production will be prioritised over jet fuel, he said.

Industry Outlook and Future Implications

(Reporting by Shadia NasrallaEditing by Tomasz Janowski)

Key Takeaways

  • Shell expects oil market balance may take a year or more given current severe supply disruptions, inventory drawdowns, and structural stresses.
  • More than 10 % of global crude supply is offline due to the Iran war, per Shell and IEA estimates.
  • Global crude inventories are being drawn down rapidly—Shell cites a 1.2 billion‑barrel deficit, and analysts warn inventory buffers may soon hit critical lows.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does Shell's CEO believe it will take a year to restore crude oil market equilibrium?
Shell CEO Wael Sawan cites significant inventory drawdowns, disrupted global production, and current supply deficits as reasons why rebalancing the crude oil market could take at least a year, possibly longer.
How has the Iran conflict affected global crude oil production?
Over 10% of global crude oil production is reportedly offline because of the Iran war, significantly impacting market supply according to Shell's CEO.
What is the current crude oil inventory situation worldwide?
There is currently a deficit of 1.2 billion barrels of crude oil, largely due to ongoing inventory drawdowns to stabilize the market temporarily.
How are Chinese energy imports impacting global oil markets?
Chinese energy imports have decreased recently, as China has been drawing on its own inventories to meet its energy needs.
What market trends are affecting jet fuel and diesel production?
Market conditions have supported jet fuel production, but rising diesel prices may soon lead to increased diesel production being prioritized.

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