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Putin signals key rate cuts as his central banker is on sick leave

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 10, 2026

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· Last updated: June 10, 2026

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Putin Expects Russian Central Bank Rate Cut Amid Governor Nabiullina’s Absence

Russian Central Bank Policy and Governor Nabiullina’s Recent Absence

Putin’s Remarks on Monetary Policy and Rate Cut Expectations

MOSCOW, June 10 (Reuters) - Russian President Vladimir Putin told top officials on Wednesday that there are grounds to expect a cut in the central bank's key interest rate when it meets next week, and praised the monetary policy of central bank chief Elvira Nabiullina, who was absent from the meeting due to illness.

Nabiullina’s Recent Public Absences

Nabiullina has cancelled two public appearances in the past week, including at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum, Russia’s biggest business conference, often dubbed the “Russian Davos.”

She was due to speak at the main macroeconomic panel alongside Maxim Oreshkin, a presidential aide on the economy, Finance Minister Anton Siluanov and Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov. The central bank said Nabiullina was on sick leave.

Criticism and Impact of Central Bank’s Interest Rate Policy

Nabiullina has been under intense criticism from businesses over the central bank’s rate hike to 21% in 2024 to fight inflation, which contributed to economic growth slowing to 1% last year from 4.9% in 2023. Putin told officials that the central bank's policy has yielded results.

Putin’s Assessment of Economic Situation

"The (economic) situation is under control; that's absolutely obvious. And the measures taken have produced the desired results," Putin said in televised comments.

Concerns Over Nabiullina’s Absence

The absence of Nabiullina, whose mandate runs out in June next year, has begun to raise concerns on social media. She was last seen in public during Putin's visit to Kazakhstan on May 28.

Upcoming Central Bank Decisions and Economic Outlook

Nabiullina is due to hold her regular press conference after the central bank’s board decides on the key rate on June 19, with expectations of another cut from the current level of 14.5% as inflation slows.

"Inflation is falling — just over 5%. Therefore, I think we have every right to expect both a reduction in the key rate and the achievement of other necessary parameters," Putin said.

Nabiullina’s Tenure and International Reputation

Nabiullina has run the central bank since 2013 and has faced multiple challenges, including after the annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the start of military action in Ukraine in 2022. She is widely credited at home and abroad with helping keep the Russian economy afloat after the West imposed sanctions. Nabiullina received several prestigious international awards prior to 2022. She is also under Western sanctions.

Economic Growth Challenges and Government Response

Amid the contraction in the first quarter, Putin told officials to find ways to boost economic growth, expected at a modest 0.4% this year, but the government is struggling to find a growth strategy beyond key rate cuts.

Recent Economic Performance

The economy contracted by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2026, which officials blamed on high interest rates, Western sanctions and a strong rouble. The central bank said economic activity had picked up in April-May.

(Reporting by Elena Fabrichnaya and Darya Korsunskaya; Writing by Maxim Rodionov and Gleb Bryanski; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

Key Takeaways

  • Putin signalled expectations for a rate cut, citing inflation decline to just over 5%, ahead of the June 19 meeting.
  • The central bank previously trimmed the key rate to 14.5% on April 24, and aims for a 2026 average of 14–14.5% under its baseline forecast.
  • Governor Nabiullina’s sick leave and absence from SPIEF raised concerns; she’s due to hold her next press conference post the June 19 rate decision.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Elvira Nabiullina absent from the central bank meeting?
Elvira Nabiullina, the head of Russia's central bank, is on sick leave and has missed two recent public appearances.
What did Putin say about possible changes to the key interest rate?
Putin indicated there are grounds to expect a cut in the central bank's key interest rate at the next meeting.
How has the key interest rate affected the Russian economy?
The rate was increased to 21% in 2024 to fight inflation, which slowed economic growth to 1% last year.
When is the next Russian central bank rate decision expected?
The central bank's board is set to decide on the key interest rate on June 19.
What is the current level of inflation in Russia?
Inflation in Russia is currently just over 5% and is showing signs of slowing.

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