Volkswagen crisis worsens with $11.5 billion profit warning, largely due to Porsche struggles

Volkswagen Crisis Deepens with $11.5 Billion Profit Warning Tied to Porsche

Volkswagen Faces Mounting Financial and Strategic Challenges

By Christina Amann and Christoph Steitz

Massive One-Off Costs and Profit Warning

BERLIN/FRANKFURT, Sept 18 (Reuters) - Volkswagen on Friday flagged €10 billion ($11.5 billion) in one-off costs, mostly at struggling sports car brand Porsche , deepening a crisis at the world's second-largest automaker that has already triggered the group's biggest-ever restructuring.

Impact on Volkswagen’s Reputation and European Industry

The profit warning deepens a crisis at Volkswagen, one of Europe's most storied industrial heavyweights that illustrates the continent's struggles with changes to the massive geopolitical environment affecting its top two trading partners: the US and China.

Porsche’s Struggles in Key Markets

The news raises questions over Porsche, which has been hard hit by US tariffs and collapsing demand for foreign luxury brands in China, creating a perfect storm for the division that posted a profit margin of just 1.1% last year.

Restructuring Efforts and Shareholder Agreements

The impairments, flanked by a profit warning, come two weeks after the company agreed on a major transformation deal with its shareholders, including another 50,000 job cuts, a simplification of its structure and possible plant closures.

Market Pressures in China and the United States

Having heavily relied on China and the United States, Volkswagen has been squeezed by drastic changes in both markets, including levies on US imports as well as a decline in China, where it lost the crown as top automaker in 2024.

Internal Response and Leadership Comments

"We have no time to lose," finance chief Arno Antlitz said in an internal memo seen by Reuters, citing a 20% contraction in China, the world's biggest auto market, Asian rivals muscling into Europe and rising sales of less profitable electric cars.

"There is no sign of consolidation," he added with regard to China. "We cannot escape this trend."

Stock Market Reaction and Shareholder Impact

Shares in Volkswagen closed 5.6% lower, while Porsche's stock fell 3.3%. Volkswagen's top shareholder Porsche SE also cut its outlook, sending its shares 4.9% lower.

Details of Impairment Charges

Some €6 billion of the impairment charges stem from new mid-term assumptions for Porsche, of which Volkswagen owns 75%, reflecting lower overall expectations for the business that has already thinned out its network of Chinese dealerships.

Future Outlook and Guidance

Volkswagen, which also includes the Audi, Skoda and Seat brands among others, now expects a profit margin of 1% at the most in 2026, having previously issued guidance for margins between 4.0% and 5.5%. Analysts, on average, expect a margin of 4.1%.

Risks from Market Deterioration and EV Shift

It warned of a "further deterioration in the market environment, especially in China, as well as an accelerated shift in demand in favour of battery-electric vehicles".

This, it said, would lead to lower expectations for the Audi and Volkswagen passenger car brands.

Additional Information

($1 = 0.8721 euros)

(Additional reporting by Tristan Veyet; Editing by Kevin Liffey, Louise Heavens and Alexander Smith)