Oil Prices Dip 1% as Markets Eye Alternate Supply Routes Amid Middle East Tension
Market Reactions and Supply Chain Developments
By Arathy Somasekhar
Oil Price Movements and Market Sentiment
Sept 18 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell about 1%, extending losses for a third session, but stayed above $100 on Friday, as hopes of alternate ways for barrels from the Middle East to reach markets outweighed concerns about strikes between Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Houthis.
Brent crude futures fell $1.01, or 1%, to $103.77 a barrel by 0020 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate futures fell $1.03, or 1%, to $100.88 a barrel. Both benchmarks had closed down about 1% on Thursday.
Middle East Tensions and Supply Threats
Markets largely shrugged off concerns about new threats to supplies even as Saudi Arabia and Yemen's Iran-backed Houthis exchanged fresh strikes across their border on Thursday, expanding the Middle East war front.
Pipeline Attacks and Export Disruptions
Oil prices had climbed to around four-month highs this week as sources said crude loadings at Saudi Arabia's Red Sea export hub of Yanbu had been suspended and Riyadh had cancelled some deliveries to Europe after its East-West pipeline was damaged in an attack last week.
Sources that have spoken to Reuters have given varying estimates of how long it will take to reopen the pipeline and return crude flows to normal.
Extent of Pipeline Damage and Potential Impact
Three of the pipeline's pumping stations — one more than assessed previously — were damaged, according to satellite imagery and three industry sources. A prolonged closure of the pipeline to Yanbu could cut off as much as 4% of global oil supply, traders have said.
Bloomberg reported that Saudi Arabia was seeking to return about half the capacity of its East-West oil pipeline within days after the critical link to the Red Sea was halted last week following drone attacks.
Alternative Supply Routes and Mitigation Efforts
Saudi Arabia was also offering more crude cargoes to Asian refiners through ship-to-ship transfers off Oman's Sohar port, a move that would help offset some of the disruption caused by attacks on the East-West pipeline.
US Energy Secretary Chris Wright has said that crude should be flowing through the pipeline within days.
Geopolitical Developments and Market Uncertainty
Iran's Revolutionary Guards Navy said a Togo-flagged oil tanker was struck while attempting to make an "illegal passage" through the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday, Iranian state media said early on Friday.
Highlighting uncertainty, JPMorgan said on Thursday it does not have a clear baseline view for oil markets for the first time since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran.
Diplomatic Efforts and Upcoming Discussions
The US and Iran have held no peace talks since an interim agreement reached in June collapsed within weeks. The war will come up for discussion at the United Nations General Assembly next week, and an Iranian delegation will be able to attend, according to the US State Department.
(Reporting by Arathy Somasekhar in Houston; Editing by Sonali Paul)
