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Finance

UK's Serco reiterates annual forecast despite US procurement delays

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 25, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: June 25, 2026

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Serco Sticks to 2024 Revenue and Profit Targets Despite US Delays

Serco's Financial Performance and Market Overview

June 24 (Reuters) - British outsourcing group Serco on Thursday reiterated its annual revenue and profit forecast as growth in its UK home market and in Europe offset persisting procurement delays in the United States.   

The provider of defence, security, immigration, healthcare and transport services to governments has benefitted from a surge in contract activity as countries boost defence spending amid rising geopolitical tensions.

Key Details and Company Statements

Here are some more details:

North American Market and US Procurement Delays

• "While procurement delays in the U.S. have continued into the first half, we remain confident in the structural drivers of demand which have supported further expansion of our North American pipeline," the company said.

Middle East Business Impact

• The Middle East business, which contributes roughly 4% to Serco's revenue, was partially affected by the regional conflict, leading to some reductions in activity and revised contracts.

Financial Forecasts and Performance Metrics

First Half Expectations

• For the first half of the year, Serco expects underlying operating profit to rise by 6% to around £155 million and revenue to be about 3% higher than in the same period in 2025 at £2.5 billion.

Full-Year Forecast

• Serco forecast full-year revenue of about £5 billion, with organic growth of around 3%, and underlying operating profit of about £300 million, in line with the average analyst estimate of a company-compiled poll.

Share Price Performance

• Shares of the FTSE 250-listed company have declined ~16% YTD, underperforming the midcap index which gained ~3% during the same time frame.

(Reporting by Neeshita Beura in Bengaluru; Editing by Ronojoy Mazumdar)

Key Takeaways

  • Serco reiterated full‑year 2026 outlook: revenue ~£5 bn with ~3% organic growth; operating profit ~£300 m—aligned with analyst consensus (sharecast.com).
  • Procurement delays in the US continue into H1 2026, but Serco remains confident in expanding its North American pipeline amid robust structural demand (investing.com).
  • Growth in the UK & Europe helped offset regional challenges: while the Middle East saw activity reductions and contract revisions, the UK & Europe posted solid gains (investing.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What is Serco's financial outlook for 2024?
Serco expects full-year revenue of about £5 billion with approximately 3% organic growth and underlying operating profit of around £300 million.
How have US procurement delays affected Serco?
Procurement delays in the US continued into the first half of the year, but Serco's UK and European growth has helped offset these delays.
By how much did Serco's shares decline year-to-date?
Serco's shares declined approximately 16% year-to-date, underperforming the FTSE 250 midcap index, which gained around 3% in the same period.
What regions contribute to Serco's revenue growth?
The UK and Europe have seen revenue growth, while the Middle East accounts for roughly 4% and faced activity reductions due to regional conflict.

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