German Trade Deficit With China Increases as Exports Fall in 2026
Germany's Trade Relationship With China in 2026
By Rene Wagner
Widening Trade Deficit
BERLIN, Aug 9 (Reuters) - Germany's trade deficit with China widened in the first half of 2026, even as the Asian powerhouse remained its top trade partner, preliminary data from state-run agency Germany Trade & Invest (GTAI) showed on Sunday.
Falling Exports to China
German exports to China fell over 12% year-on-year to just under €37 billion between January and June, the data showed, as Chinese firms cut reliance on European imports, making China only the ninth-biggest market for German goods.
Historical Export Context
As recently as 2021, China was the second-biggest export market. That year, Germany sold China merchandise worth €104 billion, despite the effects of the pandemic.
Now, German manufacturing is struggling with both U.S. tariffs and Chinese competition, triggering major job cuts at bulwarks of industry such as carmaker Volkswagen.
Rising Chinese Imports
China, though, is selling more and more to Germany.
In the first half of last year, Germany ran a trade deficit of €40 billion with China. That had swelled to some €55 billion during the same period this year.
German imports from China rose 8.9% to €91.8 billion over the period. Total trade was over €128 billion, €3 billion more than with the United States.
Expert Insights and Economic Factors
Reasons for Declining Exports
"The reasons for declining exports to China are the weak domestic economy and increasing (Chinese) focus on domestic value chains," said GTAI East Asia expert Corinne Abele.
German firms are now producing more inside China itself, while China's property crisis and cash-strapped regional governments are curbing investment, Abele added.
Shifting Trade Dynamics
Far smaller economies like Austria and Switzerland have bought more German goods than China in 2026, the data showed.
China's diminishing reliance on Germany showed it is becoming more independent of Western powers and catching up technologically, said Commerzbank economist Vincent Stamer.
Global Trade Context
Impact of U.S. Tariffs and Other Markets
China overtook the U.S. as Germany's top trading partner in 2025 after U.S. President Donald Trump returned to the White House and launched protectionist tariff policies that have eroded German exports to the United States.
The U.S. remains Germany's single-biggest foreign market, but exports there fell about 6% through June to just over €74 billion, Abele said. By contrast, German imports from the U.S. grew 7.1% to nearly €51 billion.
France and the Netherlands were the next biggest export markets. Overall, German exports rose 3.7% to €817 billion through June as global growth kept orders flowing.
The Future of 'Made in Germany'
"But the 'Made in Germany' brand must still reinvent itself," said Commerzbank's Stamer.
(Reporting by Rene WagnerAdditional reporting by Dave Graham; Editing by Toby Chopra)
