Stocks Fall as AI Rally Pauses, US-Iran Peace Talks Fail to Progress
By Rae Wee
Market Reactions to Geopolitical Tensions and AI Sector Developments
SINGAPORE, June 5 (Reuters) - Asian share markets slid on Friday as investors took profits on technology stocks and turned defensive ahead of the weekend, wary of the flare-up in Middle East hostilities as U.S.-Iran peace talks remain in limbo.
Middle East Hostilities and Diplomatic Stalemate
The Iran-backed Hezbollah militia rejected a new ceasefire in Lebanon on Thursday and Israel said it would not withdraw troops from the country, undermining U.S. President Donald Trump's efforts to halt fighting there and reach a peace deal with Tehran.
AI Rally Fizzles as Tech Stocks Retreat
Meanwhile, an AI-driven rally that boosted stocks earlier in the week fizzled out as chipmaker Broadcom reported underwhelming results.
Regional Market Performance
All that left MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan down 1.6% in early Asia trade. South Korea's tech-heavy Kospi slid more than 6% and Japan's Nikkei fell 1.3%.
Expert Commentary on Market Sentiment
"(It) seems like quite a risk-off today," said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo.
"Korea has been one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI memory supercycle, so when Broadcom disappointed on AI expectations, investors quickly de-risked the whole semiconductor chain.
"The issue is not that AI demand has disappeared - it is that expectations had become extremely high, and even good numbers are no longer enough unless guidance keeps moving higher."
Global Futures and Indices Overview
Nasdaq futures fell 1% and S&P 500 futures eased 0.5%, after a mixed session on Wall Street overnight. EUROSTOXX 50 futures dipped 0.2%, while DAX futures lost 0.5% and FTSE futures were flat.
Oil Markets and US-Iran Negotiations
Weekly Oil Price Movements
OIL SET FOR WEEKLY GAIN
Oil prices were little changed on Friday as traders awaited more clarity on U.S.-Iran negotiations, though were set for a weekly gain as hostilities earlier in the week raised concerns of a prolonged energy shock.
Brent crude futures were steady at $95 a barrel and on track to rise more than 3% for the week, while U.S. crude dipped 0.3% to $92.73 per barrel, and was similarly set to advance more than 6% this week.
Analysis of Supply Chain Challenges
Kristian Kerr, head of macro strategy at LPL Financial, said markets were underestimating the complexities involved in restoring shipping through the Strait of Hormuz to pre-war levels, even if Washington and Tehran reach a memorandum of understanding.
"Any early increase in barrels is likely to come from already produced crude, including crude sitting on stranded or floating vessels and Iranian cargoes in storage, rather than a sustained restart in production or exports," he said.
"In other words, this is more about clearing existing bottlenecks than reflating the supply base."
Currency and Precious Metals Update
Dollar and Yen Movements
EYES ON US NONFARM PAYROLLS
In currencies, the dollar was on track for a 0.5% weekly rise supported by the Middle East conflict.
The yen languished near the 160 per dollar level and was last at 159.96, as Japanese officials ramped up warnings on the ailing currency, keeping traders on alert for further intervention from Tokyo.
Data on Friday showed Japan's foreign reserves fell by $77 billion in May.
Euro and Sterling Trends
In other currencies, the euro last bought $1.1611, while sterling was little changed at $1.3421.
US Nonfarm Payrolls in Focus
Focus now turns to the closely watched U.S. nonfarm payrolls data due later in the day.
Market Expectations for Employment Data
Market forecasts are for a solid rise of 85,000 in employment, keeping the jobless rate steady at 4.3%. Anything stronger would likely see the odds of a Federal Reserve rate hike narrow further.
Gold Price Movements
Elsewhere, spot gold was down 0.2% to $4,465.23 an ounce. [GOL/]
(Reporting by Rae Wee; Editing by Kate Mayberry)
