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STMicro raises data-centre expectations after profit miss, shares tank - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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STMicro raises data-centre expectations after profit miss, shares tank

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 23, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: July 23, 2026

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STMicroelectronics profit misses estimates, shares fall 14%

STMicroelectronics Q2 Earnings and Market Reaction

By Nathan Vifflin

July 23 (Reuters) - STMicroelectronics reported second-quarter core profit below market expectations and forecast third-quarter revenue slightly below analyst estimates on Thursday, sending its shares down 14%.

Investor Sentiment and Stock Performance

The results disappointed investors betting on a faster recovery at the Franco-Italian chipmaker after a prolonged downturn in its automotive and industrial markets. Including Thursday's fall, the stock is still up more than 110% this year.

Revenue Forecast and Analyst Expectations

STMicro forecast third-quarter revenue of $3.70 billion, plus or minus 3.5%, versus analysts' average estimate of $3.72 billion, according to LSEG data.

Analyst Commentary

Jefferies analysts said the third-quarter revenue guidance missed "perhaps because of a slower iPhone 18 ramp", although stronger gross margin guidance and the fourth-quarter outlook pointed to a better-than-expected 2027.

Financial Results Overview

Second-quarter earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation came in at $679 million, well below market expectations of $797.7 million.

The misses overshadowed a second-quarter revenue beat and management's optimistic outlook for AI-related data centres and low-Earth-orbit satellite communications.

Factors Affecting Profit

The company said the profit hit came from impairment, restructuring and other phase-out costs, as well as accounting effects from its acquisition of an NXP sensor business.

Management Statements and Future Outlook

"During the quarter demand increased further, with strong bookings in all end markets. We saw improved visibility and signs of tight supply in several product categories," Chief Executive Jean-Marc Chery said in a statement.

"We anticipate a revenue growth acceleration in Q4, mainly driven by our engaged customer programs in AI datacenters and LEO satellite communication. We expect Q4 revenues to be above $4 billion," he added.

Data Centre Revenue Ambitions

The company raised its data-centre revenue ambition, saying it now expects more than $1 billion in 2026 and well above $2 billion in 2027, assuming current demand trends and customer engagements continue.

Market Analyst Reactions

J.P. Morgan analysts said STMicro had "not done enough to take the stock up significantly," adding that "the pre-announcement in June had created greater expectations" and that investors still needed to see more evidence of gross-margin improvement to become substantially more bullish.

(Reporting by Nathan Vifflin in Gdansk, editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak, Elaine Hardcastle and Matt Scuffham)

Key Takeaways

  • Q2 adjusted EBITDA of $679 million missed analyst expectations (~$797.7 million), despite revenue of $3.49 billion beating estimates (~$3.39 billion) (newsroom.st.com)
  • Shares plunged 14% in early trade following the earnings release, even as STMicro reiterated its expectation of Q4 revenue above $4 billion (newsroom.st.com)
  • Data‑centre revenue forecast raised to ~$1 billion for 2026 (up from prior ‘nicely above $500 million’), and now expected to be well above $2 billion in 2027, reflecting surging AI‑infrastructure demand (newsroom.st.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did STMicro's shares fall after its latest earnings report?
Shares dropped 14% as second-quarter core profit and third-quarter sales forecasts missed analyst expectations.
What is driving STMicro's optimism for future revenue?
The company anticipates stronger demand from data centres, AI applications, and satellite communications to accelerate revenue growth in the fourth quarter.
How much revenue does STMicro expect from its data-centre business?
STMicro expects data centres to generate over $1 billion in revenue in 2026 and well above $2 billion in 2027.
What factors contributed to STMicro's lower-than-expected profit?
Impairment, restructuring, phase-out costs, and accounting effects from the NXP sensor business acquisition affected profits.
What were STMicro's revenue figures for the second quarter?
STMicro reported Q2 revenue of $3.49 billion, above analyst estimates of $3.39 billion.

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