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Russia's Novak meets Saudi oil minister, says demand outlook is unclear

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 4, 2026

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· Last updated: June 4, 2026

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Russia, Saudi Arabia Highlight Uncertainty in Global Oil Demand at Forum

Key Discussions and Impacts on Global Oil Markets

Rising Uncertainty in Oil Demand

ST PETERSBURG, June 4 (Reuters) - Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak said on Thursday there was rising uncertainty about global oil demand and that he had discussed this issue with Saudi Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman.

Conclusions from Russia-Saudi Meeting

"We came to the conclusion that no one really knows what to expect regarding demand at the moment. In other words, uncertainty has increased," Novak said after meeting the Saudi minister at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum.

Global Events Affecting Oil Supply

Impact of Geopolitical Tensions

The U.S. and Israel's war with Iran, subsequent damage to Iran and its Gulf neighbours' oil infrastructure and the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz shipping lane have caused one of the largest oil supply crises in history.

Need for Revised Demand Estimates

"Estimates made just a few years ago now need to be fundamentally revised," Novak said, adding that the OPEC+ group of crude oil exporters would be able to offset changes taking place in the sector.

Reporting Credits

(Reporting by Olesya Astakhova and Vladimir Soldatkin, Writing by Felix Light and Alessandra Prentice; Editing by Mark Trevelyan)

Key Takeaways

  • Novak emphasized that nobody can currently predict global oil demand, citing heightened uncertainty discussed with Saudi Arabia’s minister.
  • Recent conflict—especially the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—has sparked the biggest oil supply shock in history, with global seaborne oil flows cut by around 20 %
  • Despite the severe disruption, measures like strategic reserve releases, pipeline rerouting, and demand adjustment have softened the impact, holding Brent under $100/barrel

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Russia and Saudi Arabia discuss regarding oil demand?
They discussed the increased uncertainty about global oil demand amid geopolitical tensions and changing market conditions.
Why is there uncertainty in the global oil demand outlook?
Ongoing conflicts involving the US, Israel, and Iran, along with attacks on oil infrastructure and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, have disrupted supply and market forecasts.
How does OPEC+ plan to address changes in the oil sector?
According to Alexander Novak, OPEC+ will work to offset any changes affecting the sector to stabilize markets.
What recent events have caused an oil supply crisis?
War involving the US and Israel with Iran and attacks on oil infrastructure in the Gulf have triggered a significant oil supply crisis.
What was the setting for the Russia-Saudi oil talks?
The discussions took place at the St Petersburg International Economic Forum.

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