GBAF Logo
Global Banking & Finance Awards® 2026 Nominations open, free to enter Nominate now →
Oil steadies as uncertainty over US-Iran talks keeps markets on edge - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
Finance

Oil steadies as uncertainty over US-Iran talks keeps markets on edge

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 2, 2026

4 min read

· Last updated: June 2, 2026

Add as preferred source on Google

Oil prices rise to one-week high as Iran reviews US proposal to halt war

Oil Market Update and Geopolitical Developments

By Scott DiSavino

NEW YORK, June 2 (Reuters) - Oil prices climbed about 1% to a one-week high in volatile trade on Tuesday as the market waited for news on the Iran war, with Tehran reviewing a proposed agreement with the U.S. to halt the conflict.

Brent futures rose $1.02, or 1.1%, to settle at $96.00 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude rose $1.60, or 1.7%, to settle at $93.76.

Those were the highest closes for both benchmarks since May 26.

Iran-U.S. Negotiations and Regional Tensions

Iran is examining the proposed deal with the U.S. to halt their war but has not communicated with Washington for a few days, Iranian media reported on Tuesday, though U.S. President Donald Trump said negotiations had been going on continuously.

More than three months after the U.S. and Israel launched strikes against Iran, the conflict is stuck in a stalemate, with a shaky ceasefire in place while the pivotal Strait of Hormuz remains largely shut to maritime traffic.

Iran has effectively halted most non-Iranian shipping in and out of the Gulf since the war began, choking off about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas flows and driving prices up by 50% or more. The U.S. has also maintained a blockade on Iranian ports.

Market Volatility and Analyst Commentary

"The (oil) complex continues to gyrate wildly amid conflicting comments out of the White House and Iran as well as between Trump and (Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin) Netanyahu," analysts at energy advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.

"There are still various moving parts to this drama, but at the end of the day a significant reopening of the Strait of Hormuz doesn't appear much closer than was the case a couple of months ago," Ritterbusch said.

Negotiation Prospects and Political Statements

Trump said on Monday that negotiations were continuing and there would be a deal over the next week to extend a ceasefire agreed to in April and reopen the strait.

U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio told lawmakers on Tuesday that Iran has agreed to negotiate aspects of its nuclear program that it previously refused to discuss, but said that was not a guarantee that negotiations would lead to a deal.

Iranian and Israeli Actions

Iran's semi-official Fars agency, citing a source, said that messages on the possible deal, or memorandum of understanding, had stopped a few days ago, with the last one being Tehran's "clear message" over Lebanon. Iran is seeking a stop to Israel's incursion against its ally Hezbollah.

Israel kept up strikes on southern Lebanon on Tuesday, pressing its campaign against Hezbollah a day after Trump asked Netanyahu not to attack Beirut to avert further escalation in the three-month war.

Global Oil Inventories and Market Impact

Stockpile Trends and Market Concerns

GLOBAL STOCKPILES FALLING

Global oil inventories could hit critical levels ahead of the peak summer demand period if stock draws continue at their current pace, the head of the International Energy Agency's oil industry and markets division said on Tuesday.

Oil traders in the U.S. were waiting for weekly storage reports from the American Petroleum Institute (API) trade group later on Tuesday and the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday.

Recent Inventory Data

Analysts estimated that energy firms pulled 4.0 million barrels of crude from storage during the week ended May 29.

If correct, that would be the first time energy firms pulled crude out of storage for six weeks in a row since January 2025. There was a decrease of 4.3 million barrels in the same week last year and an average decline of 2.7 million barrels over the past five years (2021 to 2025). [EIA/S] [API/S]

(Reporting by Scott DiSavino in New York, Stephanie Kelly in London, Pooja Menon in Bengaluru and Siyi Liu in Singapore; Editing by Keith Weir, Andrea Ricci and Paul Simao and Cynthia Osterman)

Key Takeaways

  • Markets remain jittery amid conflicting signals on U.S.‑Iran negotiations and Strait of Hormuz reopening.
  • Iran’s near‑shutdown of non‑Iranian shipping through Hormuz has choked off around one‑fifth of global oil and LNG flows.
  • U.S. crude exports soared to a record 5.6 million barrels per day in May as global buyers sought alternatives to Middle East supply

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are oil prices volatile right now?
Oil prices are volatile due to uncertainty over US-Iran ceasefire talks and potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz that affects global supply.
How has the Middle East crisis impacted oil exports?
The crisis has increased US oil exports as Middle East tensions drove demand from Asian and European refiners, pushing prices up.
What is the significance of the Strait of Hormuz?
The Strait of Hormuz is a critical route for global oil and gas flows, and recent threats have significantly disrupted shipping and supply.
What is expected from the US-Iran talks in the near future?
A deal to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz is anticipated 'over the next week,' according to recent statements.
How have US crude stockpiles changed recently?
US crude stockpiles are expected to have fallen by about 3.6 million barrels, following similar declines the previous week.

Tags

Related Articles

More from Finance

Explore more articles in the Finance category