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    1. Home
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    3. >Oil rises over $1 as Iran crisis disrupts Middle East supply
    Finance

    Oil Rises Over $1 as Iran Crisis Disrupts Middle East Supply

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 4, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: April 2, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceMarketsOilCommoditiesMiddle East

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices climbed sharply—Brent rose $1.11 to $82.53 and WTI $0.79 to $75.37—driven by disrupted exports from the Middle East amid the U.S.–Israeli war on Iran, Strait of Hormuz shutdown, and Iraq’s output cuts. Trump’s offer of naval escorts and insurance lent limited relief.

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    Oil settles at highest in over a year for second straight day as Iran crisis escalates, snarls Hormuz flows

    Escalating Iran Crisis Disrupts Oil Markets

    By Arathy Somasekhar

    Market Reaction and Price Movements

    HOUSTON, March 4 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled unchanged on Wednesday at the end of a volatile trading session, as escalating U.S. and Israeli strikes against Iran widened regional tensions and paralysed shipping through the Strait of Hormuz for a fifth day, disrupting vital Middle East oil and gas flows.

    Brent crude settled at $81.40 per barrel, flat to Tuesday's close and at its highest since January 2025. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled 10 cents, or 0.1%, higher at $74.66, closing at its highest since June for the second day in a row.

    Analyst Insights

    "Oil prices remain elevated as markets grapple with the prospect of a prolonged war and lingering supply disruptions," Nikos Tzabouras, Senior Market Analyst at Tradu.com said. 

    "The U.S. has signalled a four- to five-week campaign, Iran is seeking to regionalise the conflict and the crucial Strait of Hormuz chokepoint is effectively shut. These developments could overturn previously unfavourable supply-demand dynamics, pushing crude higher and bringing the $100 threshold into view," Tzabouras added. 

    Geopolitical Developments and Regional Impact

    The Brent benchmark had gained more than $3 to touch $84.48 in morning trading, within sight of multi-month highs, but traded lower after the New York Times reported operatives from Iran's Ministry of Intelligence signalled openness to the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency to talks on ending the war, citing officials briefed on the matter.

    Statements from U.S. Officials

    On Wednesday, U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth said the U.S. was winning the war against Iran and that the U.S. military could fight as long as needed.

    Retaliatory Strikes and Oil Infrastructure

    Israeli and U.S. forces have struck targets across Iran, prompting Iranian retaliatory strikes against energy infrastructure in a region that accounts for just under a third of global oil production.

    OPEC and Iraq's Output Cuts

    Iraq, the second-largest crude producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, has cut output by nearly 1.5 million barrels a day due to storage limits and the lack of an export route, officials told Reuters.

    They said the country may have to shut nearly 3 million bpd of output within days if exports do not resume. Traffic through the Strait also remains effectively closed.

    Global Responses and Alternative Strategies

    U.S. Measures to Secure Oil Flows

    U.S. President Donald Trump on Tuesday said the U.S. Navy could begin escorting oil tankers through the strait if necessary, adding that he had ordered the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation to provide political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade in the Gulf.

    The Pentagon and the U.S. Energy Department are working on plans to secure the Strait of Hormuz to ensure safety for oil tankers amid the war on Iran, White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Wednesday, adding that Trump and his advisors were also discussing what role the U.S. could have in Iran after the military campaign.

    Shifts in Global Supply Chains

    Countries and companies have, meanwhile, begun seeking alternative routes and supplies of crude. India and Indonesia said they were looking for other supplies, while some Chinese refineries were shutting or moving up maintenance plans.

    U.S. Oil Inventory and Supply Outlook

    In the U.S., crude stocks rose by 3.5 million barrels in the last week to their highest in three and a half years, the Energy Information Administration said, compared with analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a 2.3 million-barrel rise. U.S. gasoline stocks fell by 1.7 million barrels, while distillate stockpiles, which include diesel and heating oil, rose by 429,000 barrels in the week.

    Expert Commentary on Market Volatility

    "Global supplies remain ample with near record levels of “on the water” tanker storage. Still, until that oil can find a safe home, look for price volatility to continue," said Dennis Kissler, senior vice president of trading at BOK Financial. 

    (Additional reporting by Trixie Yapp in Singapore and Alex Lawler; Editing by Jason Neely, Mark Potter, Elaine Hardcastle, Diane Craft and David Gregorio)

    References

    • Global energy costs soar as Iran crisis disrupts shipping, oil and gas production By Reuters
    • Iraq Cuts Oil Production, And More Will Follow If The
    • Trump offers political risk insurance and US Navy escort for ships through the Strait of Hormuz

    Key Takeaways

    • •Middle East tensions halted traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting roughly 20% of global oil supply and prompting a 10–13% jump in Brent crude prices above $82 per barrel. (investing.com)
    • •Iraq has slashed production by approximately 1.5 million barrels per day due to full storage and export inability, with potential shutdown of nearly 3 million bpd if the disruption persists. ()

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil rises over $1 as Iran crisis disrupts Middle East supply

    1Why did oil prices rise over $1?

    Oil prices rose due to the ongoing U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran, which disrupted oil output and exports from the Middle East.

    2How has the Iran crisis affected Middle East oil supply?

    Iranian strikes and export disruptions have halted tankers in the Strait of Hormuz and forced Iraq to cut its oil output significantly.

    Table of Contents

    • Escalating Iran Crisis Disrupts Oil Markets
    • Market Reaction and Price Movements
    • Analyst Insights
    • Geopolitical Developments and Regional Impact
    • Statements from U.S. Officials
    • Retaliatory Strikes and Oil Infrastructure
    • OPEC and Iraq's Output Cuts
    • Global Responses and Alternative Strategies
    • U.S. Measures to Secure Oil Flows
    • Shifts in Global Supply Chains
    • U.S. Oil Inventory and Supply Outlook
    • Expert Commentary on Market Volatility
    marinelink.com
  • •President Trump authorized U.S. Navy escorts and directed the U.S. Development Finance Corporation to provide political‑risk insurance for Gulf shipping—measures aimed at restoring confidence in maritime energy flows. (businessinsider.com)
  • 3What is the impact on Brent and WTI crude prices?

    Brent crude rose $1.11 to $82.53 per barrel, and U.S. WTI crude increased by 79 cents to $75.37 per barrel, both reaching multi-month highs.

    4How are countries responding to the oil supply disruption?

    Countries like India and Indonesia are seeking alternative energy supplies, while Saudi Aramco attempts to reroute exports via the Red Sea.

    5What measures are being considered to secure oil shipments?

    The U.S. is considering military escorts for tankers, and offering political risk insurance and financial guarantees for maritime trade.

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