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    1. Home
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    3. >Oil prices steady as Hormuz shipping constraints counter US-Iran peace hopes
    Finance

    Oil Prices Steady as Hormuz Shipping Constraints Counter US-Iran Peace Hopes

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on April 15, 2026

    4 min read

    Last updated: April 15, 2026

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    Tags:FinanceMarketsCommoditiesOil & Gas

    Quick Summary

    Oil prices remained steady on April 15, 2026, as persistent shipping constraints in the Strait of Hormuz offset President Trump’s optimistic peace comments; supply disruptions kept markets cautious despite signs of easing tensions.

    Oil Prices Hold Steady as Hormuz Shipping Concerns Counter US-Iran Negotiations

    By Scott DiSavino

    Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments Impacting Oil Prices

    NEW YORK, April 15 (Reuters) - Oil prices held steady on Wednesday as ongoing worries about supply disruptions offset comments by U.S. President Donald Trump that the war on Iran could be over soon.

    Strait of Hormuz Shipping and US-Iran Negotiations

    A source briefed by Tehran said Iran could consider allowing ships to sail freely through the Omani side of the Strait of Hormuz without risk of attack as part of proposals it has offered in negotiations with the United States, providing a deal is clinched to prevent renewed conflict.

    Brent futures rose 14 cents, or 0.1%, to settle at $94.93 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude rose one cent to settle at $91.29.

    Impact of Strait Closure on Global Oil Shipments

    Forty-five days after Iran's Revolutionary Guards declared the strait closed, effectively shutting in about 20% of global oil and LNG shipments, transit through it remains at only a fraction of the 130-plus daily crossings before the war, sources said.

    Cumulative Middle Eastern crude and condensate supply losses have reached 496 million barrels to date, said Johannes Rauball, senior crude analyst at Kpler.

    US Blockade and Tanker Traffic Trends

    The U.S. has enacted a blockade of shipping leaving Iranian ports that its military said has completely halted trade going in and out of the country by sea.

    "Recent tracking data shows a small but increasing number of tankers moving through the Strait of Hormuz, even as overall traffic remains sharply below normal levels," analysts at energy consulting firm Gelber & Associates said.

    "The result is a market that is no longer pricing a full-scale outage, but still holding a residual premium as flows recover unevenly rather than snapping back to normal," the Gelber analysts added.

    The U.S. will not be renewing the waivers that allowed the purchase of some Iranian and Russian oil without facing U.S. sanctions, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told reporters on Wednesday.

    Global Economic and Political Responses

    World Coping with Supply Disruptions

    WORLD COPING WITH SUPPLY DISRUPTIONS

    Finance ministers from almost a dozen countries led by Britain called on the U.S., Israel and Iran to implement their ceasefire in full and said the conflict would weigh on the global economy and markets even if it was resolved soon.

    Bessent said the U.S. economy will be slower this quarter, but is in good shape and will rebound, adding that oil prices do not appear to be weighing on inflation expectations.

    US Federal Reserve and Economic Uncertainty

    Adding to economic uncertainty, Trump threatened to fire Jerome Powell from his separate seat on the U.S. central bank's Board of Governors if the Federal Reserve chair does not vacate that post as well when his term as Fed chief ends on May 15.

    Analysts worry that involving more politics in interest rate decisions could reduce the Fed's ability to control inflation. Trump wants the Fed to cut rates, which would reduce consumer costs and could boost economic growth and demand for oil.

    Inflation and International Financial Support

    U.S. import prices increased less than expected in March, though the trend still pointed to firming imported inflationary pressures as the Middle East conflict boosts oil prices and snarls supply chains.

    Higher oil prices could lead to a rise in consumer inflation expectations, Chicago Fed Bank President ​Austan Goolsbee told the Financial Times in an interview, adding the U.S. central bank faces a double danger from the Iran war and Trump’s tariffs.

    The International Monetary Fund expects at least a dozen countries to seek new loan programs to cope with surging energy prices and supply chain disruptions caused by the Middle East war.

    Japan said it would establish a financial framework worth about $10 billion to help Asian countries procure energy resources and bolster their stockpiles.

    Russia is ready to increase energy supplies to China ahead of an expected visit by President Vladimir Putin, Russian news agencies quoted Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov as saying.

    US Oil Inventories and Market Data

    Recent Inventory Reports

    U.S. OIL INVENTORIES

    One factor supporting U.S. crude prices earlier in the day was the surprise U.S. Energy Information Administration report showing energy firms pulled 0.9 million barrels of crude from stockpiles during the week ended April 10.

    That compared with the 0.15-million-barrel build analysts forecast in a Reuters poll and an increase of 6.1 million barrels that market sources said the American Petroleum Institute trade group reported on Tuesday. [EIA/S] [API/S] 

    (Reporting by Scott DiSavino in New York, Stephanie Kelly in London, Katya Golubkova in Tokyo and Emily Chow in Singapore; Editing by Peter Graff, Alexander Smith, Chris Reese and Nia Williams)

    References

    • Oil prices surge on blockade vow, failed U.S.-Iran talks
    • Middle East Oil Crisis: 10.7 Mbd Shut-In, 600 Mbbls at Risk Running out of barrels: cumulative oil losses hit 133 mbbls since the start of the war | Kpler - Mar 20, 2026
    • Trump threatens to fire Fed chair Powell if he doesn’t step down ‘in time’ | South China Morning Post

    Table of Contents

    Key Takeaways

    • •Despite Trump’s remarks about a potential end to the Iran conflict, shipping through the Strait of Hormuz remains severely limited, supporting oil prices with a residual premium despite some recovery in flows (axios.com).
    • •Cumulative losses in Middle Eastern oil and condensate supplies continue to mount, with few signs of swift normalization, raising concern about prolonged market tightness ().

    Frequently Asked Questions about Oil prices steady as Hormuz shipping constraints counter US-Iran peace hopes

    1What is causing oil prices to remain steady?

    Oil prices are steady due to supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz and ongoing geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.

    2How has the Strait of Hormuz conflict affected global oil shipments?

    Transit through the Strait of Hormuz has dropped sharply, reducing daily crossings and limiting about 20% of global oil and LNG shipments.

    Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments Impacting Oil Prices
  • Strait of Hormuz Shipping and US-Iran Negotiations
  • Impact of Strait Closure on Global Oil Shipments
  • US Blockade and Tanker Traffic Trends
  • Global Economic and Political Responses
  • World Coping with Supply Disruptions
  • US Federal Reserve and Economic Uncertainty
  • Inflation and International Financial Support
  • US Oil Inventories and Market Data
  • Recent Inventory Reports
  • kpler.com
  • •President Trump reiterated his threat to fire Fed Chair Jerome Powell if he stays past May 2026, injecting uncertainty into U.S. monetary policy amid concerns over politicization of rate decisions (scmp.com).
  • 3What actions has the US taken regarding Iranian oil shipments?

    The US has enacted a blockade on shipping from Iranian ports, halting trade by sea, and will not renew waivers for purchasing Iranian and Russian oil.

    4What are the potential economic impacts of the Middle East conflict?

    The conflict could slow economic growth, drive up energy prices, increase inflation expectations, and lead multiple countries to seek new financial support.

    5How are oil inventories in the US being affected?

    US crude stockpiles decreased by 0.9 million barrels during the week ended April 1, providing some support to crude prices.

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