Brent Crude Approaches $100 Amid Middle East Crisis, Asia Stocks Slump
Market Reactions to Middle East Tensions and Economic Data
By Kevin Buckland
Oil Prices Surge as Conflict Escalates
TOKYO, Sept 9 (Reuters) - Brent crude rallied towards $100 per barrel on Wednesday, keeping the mood in Asian stock markets subdued, as attacks intensified in the Middle East, stoking inflation worries ahead of the release of closely watched U.S. consumer price data.
Impact on Currencies and Central Bank Expectations
The yen strengthened towards the nearly seven-month high touched against the dollar on Tuesday as traders exited short positions in the Japanese currency amid expectations for faster Bank of Japan interest rate hikes and a potential rush of repatriation of Japanese capital.
The euro edged higher ahead of the European Central Bank's policy decision on Thursday, with markets widely expecting a hike amid inflationary pressures from the Iran war.
Geopolitical Developments
Iranian-backed Houthis in Yemen launched strikes on several Saudi cities on Tuesday, further embroiling a U.S. ally in the conflict, while U.S. forces hit multiple Iranian oil tankers and Iran struck a U.S. base in Jordan.
Stock Market Movements Across Asia
Oil prices jumped for a fourth straight session on Wednesday, gaining more than $1 in early trade.
Brent crude futures rose $1.57 to $99.49 a barrel, the highest level since late June. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $94.63 a barrel, up $1.60.
Stocks in Sydney slipped around 0.3%, while Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 0.6% and mainland Chinese blue chips edged up 0.2%.
A rebound in chip and AI stocks helped some other regional benchmarks though, with Japan's Nikkei up 0.6% following Tuesday's 1.7% tumble. South Korea's KOSPI jumped 1.6% and Taiwan's TAIEX rose 0.6%.
Japanese cable makers surged after Verizon and Corning signed a deal on high-density optical fibre.
Overnight, the Philadelphia SE semiconductor index jumped 1.3%, despite declines on Wall Street's three main indexes.
U.S. S&P 500 futures added 0.1%, after the cash index sank 0.6% on Tuesday.
Expert Insights and Market Outlook
"Across several of the major macro markets, we see indecision in the price action -- tight ranges and a general holding/consolidation pattern," Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, wrote in a client note.
Brent crude is currently "one of the clearest real-time signals for sentiment" for the overall market, and $100 "now feels like a highly achievable level," he said.
Inflation and Central Bank Policy
Inflation worries have weighed on global equities in recent weeks and lifted bond yields as traders price higher odds for central bank tightening.
U.S. CPI data is due on Friday.
Traders assign close to even odds for a quarter-point hike or a hold from the U.S. Federal Reserve on Wednesday of next week, while being all but certain of a quarter-point increase from the BOJ two days later.
Currency and Commodity Updates
The yen strengthened around 0.2% to 153.66 per dollar, edging back towards its high of 152.89 from the previous session. It had surged around 4% over the last five sessions, with hawkish comments from BOJ officials ostensibly initiating a move that then snowballed as breaks of key levels triggered additional buying, market players said.
The ECB is all but certain to raise euro zone rates by a quarter point on Thursday.
The euro added 0.1% to $1.1629, putting it in the middle of its tight range of the past three weeks.
Sterling was little changed at $1.3545, with the Bank of England due to announce its latest policy decision on Thursday of next week, with economists predicting the key rate will be on hold for the remainder of this year.
The Aussie rose 0.1% to $0.7222.
Bitcoin drifted higher to change hands at $78,680.60.
Gold gained 0.3% to around $4,368 an ounce.
(Reporting by Kevin Buckland; Editing by Kate Mayberry)
