Norway's Oil Companies Boost Investment Forecasts for 2026 and 2027
Overview of Norway's Oil and Gas Investment Trends
OSLO, May 28 (Reuters) - Norwegian oil and gas companies have raised their projected investments for 2026 and 2027 compared to estimates made three months ago, but still forecast a decline from last year's record level, a quarterly industry survey showed on Thursday.
Norway's Petroleum Industry and Production
Norway produces more than 4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, almost equally divided between crude and natural gas, and the government aims to extend the life of its petroleum industry for decades to come.
Investment Projections for 2026 and 2027
2026 Investment Forecasts
The country's biggest business sector now expects to invest 266 billion Norwegian crowns ($28.64 billion) in 2026, up from 255 billion seen in February, the statistics office (SSB) survey showed.
2025 and 2027 Investment Outlook
However, the industry's overall investment is still set to decline slightly this year, from a record high of 273 billion in 2025, as companies trim capital expenditure at existing oil and gas fields, the survey found.
In 2027, the oil and gas industry initially expects to invest 207 billion crowns, exceeding a previous forecast of 201 billion. Estimates for next year will typically rise in the coming months as additional projects are approved.
Potential for Further Decline
"It is nevertheless unlikely that new developments will be able to prevent a decline in oil and gas investments in 2027," SSB said.
Factors Influencing Investment Growth
Tax Incentives and Project Approvals
Strong investment growth in recent years was driven by a series of offshore oil and gas projects approved in 2022 under temporary tax incentives, most of which will be completed by next year.
Major Field Developments
The increase in investment this year was partly due to a decision by ConocoPhillips and its partners to invest some 20 billion crowns until 2028 to restart production at three previously shuttered fields in the Greater Ekofisk area of the North Sea, SSB said.
Additional Information
($1 = 9.2874 Norwegian crowns)
(Reporting by Nerijus Adomaitis and Terje Solsvik, editing by Essi Lehto, Aidan Lewis)
