Italy services costs at 3-year high as business contracts, PMI shows - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Italy services costs at 3-year high as business contracts, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 3, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: June 3, 2026

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Italy Service Sector Costs Surge to 3-Year High, PMI Shows Ongoing Contraction

Rising Costs and Economic Outlook in Italy's Service Sector

Cost Pressures Reach New Highs

ROME, June 3 (Reuters) - Cost pressures in Italy's service sector hit a 40-month high in May as the impact of the conflict in the Middle East became more acute, a survey showed on Wednesday.

The measure of input cost inflation in S&P Global's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for Italy's service sector accelerated to 66.7 from 65.5 in April, marking the highest reading since January 2023.

Service Sector Activity and PMI Data

The headline PMI, a broader gauge of services activity, fell to 49.4, below the 50.0 threshold that separates growth from contraction for a third month in a row, following a 49.8 reading in April. 

A Reuters survey of 11 analysts had pointed to a reading of 49.1.

Analyst Insights and Future Outlook

S&P Global economist Eleanor Dennison said services cost pressures could rise further if the war in the Middle East drags on, while "glimmers of hope" could be found in the report's employment and future outlook indicators.

The employment subindex rose to 50.6 and the gauge of future activity increased to 59.5 last month, from 50.3 and 59.1 respectively in April.

Manufacturing Sector Comparison

S&P Global's sister survey for Italy's smaller manufacturing sector, released on Monday, showed input cost inflation accelerating for a fifth month running in May to hit a four-year high.

The composite PMI, combining manufacturing and services, was virtually stable in May at 50.4, versus 50.5 the month before.    

Government Economic Forecasts

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government in April cut its economic growth outlook to 0.6% for this year and next from previous targets of 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

The government forecast a 0.8% growth rate for 2028, which would mark six consecutive years of sub-1% growth.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, editing by Gavin Jones and Hugh Lawson)

Key Takeaways

  • Input cost inflation in Italian services surged in May to 66.7—the highest since January 2023—driven largely by Middle East conflict pressures.
  • The services PMI remained below the 50‑point growth threshold at 49.4 in May, underscoring a third consecutive contraction, although this outperformed the 49.1 forecast.
  • Underlying indicators—employment rose to 50.6 and future activity expectations climbed to 59.5—suggest some resilience despite cost shocks, while similar cost pressures hit manufacturing, and government growth forecasts have been downgraded.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Italy’s service sector PMI reveal for May 2024?
The PMI for Italy’s service sector fell to 49.4 in May, indicating contraction for the third consecutive month.
Why are service costs rising in Italy?
Service costs in Italy are rising due to increased input cost inflation, impacted by the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
What was the input cost inflation reading for Italy’s service sector?
Input cost inflation rose to 66.7 in May, the highest since January 2023.
How did employment and future outlook indicators change?
The employment subindex rose to 50.6, and the future activity gauge increased to 59.5 in May.

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