UN Agency Warns of Rising Global Youth Unemployment and AI Labour Risks
By Olivia Le Poidevin
Global Trends in Youth Unemployment and Labour Market Challenges
GENEVA, Aug 12 (Reuters) - Global youth unemployment increased in 2025 as weaker economic growth, geopolitical tensions and sluggish job creation made it harder for young people to find work, the International Labour Organization said on Wednesday, warning that AI could add to mounting labour market pressures.
The global unemployment rate among 15-to-24-year-olds rose to 12.4% last year from 12.3% in 2023, equivalent to 67 million 15-to-24-year-olds worldwide, according to a new report by the U.N. labour agency.
The increase marked a reversal of improvements seen after the COVID-19 pandemic and reflected a deterioration in both the quantity and quality of jobs available to young workers, the report said.
The ILO said the share of young people not in employment, education or training (NEET) also edged higher to 20%, representing more than 257 million people.
Regional Disparities in Youth Unemployment
"The picture is worsening almost universally," the report said, noting that youth unemployment increased between 2023 and 2025 in eight of the world's 11 subregions. Rates also rose across high-income, lower-middle-income and low-income countries.
Arab States and North Africa Hardest Hit
ARAB STATES, NORTH AFRICA HARDEST HIT
Youth unemployment was highest in the Arab States at 26.2%, followed by Northern Africa at 22.6%, the report said. Some of the sharpest deterioration occurred in wealthier economies, with youth unemployment in North America climbing to 9.8% in 2025 from 8.3% in 2023. Across Northern, Southern and Western Europe, the rate stood at 15%.
Changing Job Landscape and the Impact of AI
Decline of Middle-Skilled Jobs
The agency highlighted the decline of middle-skilled jobs, including clerical, administrative, sales and manufacturing roles, which have traditionally provided an entry point into the labour market for young people leaving secondary school or university.
"A shrinkage of jobs associated with middle-skilled occupations means longer job queues and growing unemployment for young people with secondary-level education that seek them," the report said.
AI-Driven Labour Market Risks
The trend could intensify as AI transforms workplaces. The ILO estimated that 6.1% of jobs currently held by people aged 15 to 29 are in occupations most exposed to AI-related changes. If just 10% of those jobs disappeared entirely, around 5.6 million young workers, mainly in high-income countries, could face unemployment, career changes or exit the labour force, it said.
Uncertainty and Long-Term Effects
While the long-term impact of AI remains uncertain, the report said risks should not be underestimated.
Growth in High-Skilled Sectors
At the same time, jobs in high-skilled sectors such as science, engineering, healthcare and information technology continue to expand in most countries.
Challenges in Developing Economies
In developing economies, however, many young people cannot afford prolonged unemployment and instead take insecure work. Nearly nine in 10 young workers in low- and lower-middle-income countries remain in informal employment, lacking adequate labour and social protections.
(Reporting by Olivia Le Poidevin in Geneva; Editing by Matthew Lewis)
