Le Pen and Melenchon Projected to Reach French Presidential Run-off: Poll
French Presidential Election Poll Results and Analysis
Overview of the Poll Findings
Sept 28 (Reuters) - French far-right candidate Marine Le Pen and far-left contender Jean-Luc Melenchon are seen reaching a run-off vote in next year's presidential election in each of five scenarios polled, according to a survey published on Monday.
The results of the poll suggest that French voters may face a contest between extremes in the election, set for next April and May, with centrists falling behind at a time of rising prices, a sluggish economy and geopolitical instability.
Key Candidates and Their Projected Performance
Marine Le Pen: Far-Right National Rally Leader
• Le Pen, who leads the far-right National Rally (RN), is seen winning 35% to 36% in the first round, the Toluna Harris Interactive poll showed, up from 33% in an earlier poll published on September 14.
Jean-Luc Melenchon: Far-Left France Unbowed Party
• Melenchon, of the France Unbowed party, would join Le Pen in the second round, winning between 17% and 18%, according to the survey, which was conducted from September 22 to 24 for French TV channel M6 and Luxembourg-based media group RTL.
Centrist Candidates: Edouard Philippe's Prospects
• Leading centrist hopeful Edouard Philippe was seen winning 13% to 16%, not enough to reach the run-off.
Projected Run-off Outcomes
Le Pen's Potential Victories
Le Pen vs. Melenchon
• Le Pen is seen beating both Melenchon and Philippe in the second round. She would win 69% of votes against Melenchon and 57% against Philippe, according to the survey.
Le Pen vs. Philippe
Poll Methodology and Sources
(Reporting by Mateusz Rabiega in GdanskEditing by Gareth Jones)
