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Chinese and US risks mean EU chip sector faces a 'bleak future,' report says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Chinese and US risks mean EU chip sector faces a 'bleak future,' report says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 2, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: July 2, 2026

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Chinese and US risks mean EU chip sector faces a 'bleak future,' report says

EU Chip Sector Faces Critical Challenges Amid Global Tensions

By Toby Sterling

AMSTERDAM, July 2 (Reuters) - Chinese export controls, technological dependence on the U.S. and the structural weakness of Europe's chip industry mean it faces a "bleak future" unless it can act swiftly to shore up domestic supplies, an EU-funded report found on Thursday.

Major Threats to EU Chip Supply

The report by the European Union's Institute for Security Studies and French think-tank Institut Montaigne concluded that Chinese export controls on critical minerals and the risk of a war in the Taiwan Strait were major threats to supply.

Dependence on the U.S. and Export Controls

Further vulnerability stems from the EU's dependence on the U.S. for technology and the possibility the U.S. could block exports to China by chip-making equipment supplier ASML, Europe's most valuable company.

The U.S. Congress is debating a proposed law that would enable Washington to impose export controls on allied nations and their companies.

"While Beijing still appears to be the biggest threat, dependence on Washington seems to have become of much greater concern under the second Trump administration," co-author Joris Teer, a policy analyst at the Institute for Security Studies, told Reuters.

EU Policy Responses and Industry Perspectives

European Union Legislative Efforts

EUROPEAN UNION ALSO WORKS ON NEW LAW

The European Commission is seeking to strengthen the bloc's industry and in June proposed a Chips Act 2.0 with incentives to improve demand for domestically manufactured chips. It also joined Washington's "Pax Silica," an initiative of allied countries to secure supply chains.

Industry Reaction and Supply Chain Concerns

Laith Altimime, who heads chip industry group SEMI Europe, said he agreed with the report's emphasis on the need for more reliable supply chains.

"Without reliable access to critical raw materials, Europe's chip ecosystem cannot compete, innovate or grow," he said.

Building on Existing Strengths

In addition to cooperating with allies to counter China, Teer said Europe's "only viable path" is to build on its existing pockets of strength, such as in chipmaking equipment, to improve leverage.

Structural Weaknesses and Future Outlook

The report, which drew on industry, political and academic sources and was 90%-funded by EU money, also found that factors including Europe's continuing high energy prices, lack of private capital, and the decline of industries that use chips have undermined the sector's competitiveness.

(Reporting by Toby Sterling; editing by Barbara Lewis)

Key Takeaways

  • China’s controls on critical minerals and magnets, and geopolitical risks like a Taiwan Strait conflict, imperil Europe’s chip supply chain.
  • Europe remains heavily dependent on U.S. technology (e.g., design software, chipmaking tools), and potential U.S. export controls—especially on ASML—pose a growing threat.
  • The EU’s Chips Act 2.0, part of a broader tech‑sovereignty package, aims to boost domestic demand, production capacity and resilience, but its success hinges on implementation, funding and reducing structural weaknesses.

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the main threats to Europe's chip industry?
The main threats are Chinese export controls, dependence on US technology, and the structural weakness of Europe’s domestic chip sector.
How could US export controls impact the EU chip industry?
US legislation could allow Washington to block exports to China by companies like ASML, further increasing vulnerability for the EU chip sector.
What actions is the European Commission proposing for the chip industry?
The Commission has proposed a Chips Act 2.0 with incentives to boost demand for domestically manufactured chips and joined allied initiatives to secure supply chains.
Which company is a key asset for Europe in the semiconductor industry?
ASML, a chipmaking equipment supplier, is identified as Europe’s most valuable company and a key area of strength.
What structural weaknesses undermine EU chip industry competitiveness?
High energy prices, lack of private capital, and decline in chip-using industries contribute to the sector’s weakness.

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