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German companies cut US investment to three-year low, data show

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 16, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: August 16, 2026

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German Companies Cut US Investment to Lowest Level Since 2023

By Rene Wagner

German Investment Trends in the United States

BERLIN, Aug 16 (Reuters) - German companies slashed investments in the United States to a three-year low in the first half of 2026, as Trump administration policies fed uncertainty between the transatlantic trading partners.

Investment Figures and Historical Context

First-half direct investments plunged by nearly two-thirds year-on-year to €4.3 billion ($5 billion), the lowest level since 2023, according to calculations by the German Economic Institute, or IW, seen by Reuters.

Comparison to Previous Years

Compared with the same period in 2024, that represents a drop of nearly 80%, said the report, which is based on data from Germany's central bank.

Downward Trend Since 2025

"This continues the downward trend that has been evident since the start of Donald Trump's second term in January 2025," IW researcher Samina Sultan told Reuters.

Impact of US Trade Policies

Since returning to office, Trump has threatened most of the United States' international trading partners with import tariffs in an attempt to secure concessions favourable to Washington.

In a bid to avoid heavy duties on its exports to the U.S., for example, the European Union agreed a deal last year that included a $600 billion investment pledge.

Pre-Pandemic Investment Levels

In the five years before the COVID-19 pandemic, first-half investments by German companies in the U.S. averaged €15.8 billion, the data showed, almost four times the 2026 level.

That said, the 2020 to 2023 period was shaped by the "exceptional circumstance" of the pandemic, Sultan said, with some years marked by net investment outflows.

Composition of Investment Flows

The researchers also examined the composition of investment flows over 2025 and found that both direct-investment loans and reinvested earnings were exceptionally high, while equity capital in the narrower sense – the balance of new investments and liquidations – remained below average.

Reinvestment versus New Capital

"Companies that are already active in the United States are therefore continuing to reinvest the profits they earn there in the country," Sultan said. "This suggests that the U.S. remains an attractive market overall."

However, companies were hesitant to commit new capital, she said.

Additional Information

($1 = 0.8645 euros)

(Reporting by Rene Wagner; Writing by Christoph Steitz and Linda Pasquini; Editing by Joe Bavier)

Key Takeaways

  • First‑half 2026 German direct investment in the U.S. dropped to €4.3 billion, down ~80% from 2024 levels, marking a three‑year low (since 2023) (iwkoeln.de).
  • The decline aligns with Trump’s second term beginning Jan 2025 and associated tariff threats, which have undermined investment confidence (iwkoeln.de).
  • Despite reluctance to commit new capital, German companies continue to reinvest earnings and fund direct‑investment loans, indicating the U.S. remains an attractive market for existing operations (iwkoeln.de).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

How much did German companies invest in the US in early 2026?
German companies invested €4.3 billion ($5 billion) in the US in the first half of 2026.
What caused the drop in German investment in the US?
Uncertainty from Trump administration policies and threats of tariffs led to the decline in investment.
How does current investment compare to previous years?
Investments in H1 2026 were nearly two-thirds lower year-on-year and almost 80% below 2024 levels.
Are German companies withdrawing completely from the US market?
No, companies are reinvesting existing profits in the US but are hesitant to commit new capital.
What was the average investment before the pandemic?
Before COVID-19, German companies averaged €15.8 billion in first-half US investments.

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