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Sweden warns of potential jet fuel shortage

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on April 28, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: April 28, 2026

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Sweden issues "early warning" of potential jet fuel shortage, Ryanair CEO scoffs

Sweden's Jet Fuel Supply Warning Amid Middle East Conflict

STOCKHOLM, April 28 (Reuters) - Sweden warned on Tuesday of a potential shortage of jet fuel stemming from the war in the Middle East, with the country's energy minister  telling travellers they needed to build some flexibility into their plans where possible.

The warning was dismissed by Michael O'Leary, the CEO of Europe's largest carrier by passenger numbers.

Impact of Middle East Conflict on Global Oil Supply

A two-month war in the Middle East has shut the Strait of Hormuz and cut the global oil supply by 20% in the world’s biggest-ever supply disruption, pushing up crude prices to well over $100 a barrel.

Current Jet Fuel Situation in Sweden

The Swedish government said there was currently a good supply of jet fuel in the country but there could be a shortage further ahead.

Government's Precautionary Measures

"We want to issue a warning well in advance that there is a risk that there will not be enough jet fuel," Energy Minister Ebba Busch told a press conference, without saying when problems could arise.

"In Sweden and in the Nordic region we have considerable refinery capacity which uses North Sea oil. Even if competition and with it prices have risen, supply hasn't been affected noticeably yet," she added.

Ryanair CEO's Response to Government Warning

GOVERNMENTS ARE 'LATE AND WRONG', RYANAIR BOSS SAYS

Asked about the comment, Ryanair's O'Leary said: "As usual, the governments are late and wrong."

"We think the risk of a supply disruption is receding," he told Reuters on the sidelines of a business conference in Oslo.

Advice to Swedish Travellers

Busch said Swedes should keep track of developments and try to be flexible in their travel plans.

"Don't book trips where you have to come home at a specific time. It's good to think that you might need a bit of a margin," she said, emphasising this was not a recommendation to avoid travel.

Potential for Fuel Rationing

Sweden could in a worst-case scenario face rationing of aviation fuel, but the situation going forward depends to a great degree on how the market adapts, Energy Agency Director General Caroline Asserup told the press conference.

The government, however, said that there was no indication that Sweden faced a shortage of petrol or diesel.

Broader Economic Consequences

With no end to the Middle East conflict in sight, economies around the world are gearing up for the long-term consequences, including higher inflation and slower growth.

Sweden's Economic Outlook

Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson told the press conference Sweden was less affected than many other nations thanks to its fossil-fuel-free electricity generation. The government has nevertheless warned that the economy will be significantly impacted.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, Louise Rasmussen and Simon Johnson, Additional reporting by Gwladys Fouche in Oslo, editing by Terje Solsvik and Keith Weir)

Key Takeaways

  • Sweden’s Energy Ministry, citing the Energy Agency, flagged a worst‑case scenario requiring aviation fuel rationing—contingent on market adaptation.
  • The International Energy Agency warns Europe could face physical jet fuel shortages by June if Middle East supply disruption persists, with only ~6 weeks of supply remaining.
  • Surging jet fuel prices—already at record highs—are putting pressure on regional carriers; alternative sources and SAF remain limited in impact.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Sweden warning about a jet fuel shortage?
Sweden is warning of a potential jet fuel shortage due to supply disruptions caused by the war in the Middle East.
Who issued the warning about the jet fuel shortage in Sweden?
The warning was issued by Sweden's Energy Minister Ebba Busch, based on an assessment from the Swedish Energy Agency.
Could Sweden face fuel rationing?
Yes, in a worst-case scenario, Sweden could face rationing of aviation fuel if the supply shortage worsens.
What factors will influence the jet fuel situation going forward?
The future situation depends largely on how the fuel market adapts to current disruptions.

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