Russia to Increase Oil Exports from Western Ports in August on Strong Asia Demand
Overview of Russia's Oil Export Plans and Market Dynamics
Increase in Oil Shipments from Western Ports
MOSCOW, Aug 3 (Reuters) - Oil shipments from Russia's western ports are set to increase 4% in August from July as drone attacks on domestic refineries make more crude available for exports, while strong demand in Asia encourages sellers to load more, two traders said.
Exports from the Baltic ports of Primorsk and Ust-Luga, along with the Black Sea port of Novorossiysk, are set to reach around 2.7 million barrels per day in August, according to the preliminary data collected by traders.
Impact of Ukrainian Attacks on Russian Refineries
Ukraine's attacks on Russia's refineries have meant that less oil can be processed and has to be exported.
Port Loadings and Export Capacity Constraints
Loadings from the ports are set to be near capacity, though ongoing strikes and a lack of tonnage available for such shipments may cap the export volumes, the traders said.
Recent Trends and Market Reactions
Decline in July Exports Due to Black Sea Disruptions
Russia's oil exports from western ports declined in July to 2.6 million bpd as repeated Ukrainian attacks in the Black Sea disrupted loadings at Novorossiysk.
Asian Demand and Price Dynamics
Firm Prices for Urals Crude
High demand for Russian oil in Asia amid ongoing unrest in the Middle East, which has disrupted supplies via the Strait of Hormuz, is keeping prices for Russia's flagship Urals crude firm.
Urals crude differentials for delivery to India in late August and September have firmed to minus $2 to $3 per barrel to Brent at delivery, Reuters reported.
Chinese Refiners Increase Purchases
Chinese refiners have also turned back to Russian oil due to Middle East supply disruptions. Two major Chinese refiners snapped up most of Russian ESPO Blend for September-loading cargoes at narrower discounts.
(Reporting by Reuters; Editing by Sharon Singleton)