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Oil prices extend decline on expectations of smoother crude flows via Hormuz - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Oil prices extend decline on expectations of smoother crude flows via Hormuz

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 24, 2026

4 min read

· Last updated: June 24, 2026

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Brent settles at lowest since before start of Iran war as more tankers exit Hormuz

Oil Prices Drop Amid Easing Supply Concerns and Increased Tanker Movement

By Arathy Somasekhar

HOUSTON, June 24 (Reuters) - The benchmark global oil price declined more than $3 on Wednesday to settle at its lowest level since before the start of the Iran war as supply concerns eased with more stranded oil tankers exiting the Strait of Hormuz.

Market Performance and Price Movements

Brent crude futures closed $3.34, or 4.3%, lower at $73.74 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate settled $2.87, or 3.9%, lower at $70.34 a barrel. 

Brent touched a low of $73.12, its weakest since February 27, the day before U.S.-Israeli strikes on Iran, while U.S. crude futures slipped below $70 a barrel for the first time since March 2.

Strait of Hormuz Oil Flows

Crude oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz are similar to what they were before the start of the Iran war, as tankers exit the key waterway with the help of military escorts, U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said.

Around 20 million barrels of crude oil have exited the Strait of Hormuz in the last 24 hours, Wright said while speaking at the Reuters Global Energy Forum in New York, adding that a return to normal navigation was delayed due to Iranian mines in the strait.

Iran will not have the ability to block the strait going forward, Wright said, adding the U.S. will ensure flows even without a deal with Tehran. 

Stranded Tankers and Interim Deal Impact

Three stranded tankers carrying 5 million barrels of crude oil were exiting the strait on Wednesday, with two heading to Asia, shipping data showed, as the interim deal between Iran and the U.S. unlocks more supply stuck in the Gulf. 

Global Price Pressure and Shifting Trade Flows

PRICE PRESSURE

Physical crude oil cargoes were selling at discounts across the globe, changing trade flows as markets come under pressure from fast-rising Middle Eastern supply with Iran set to boost sales following a temporary reprieve from U.S. sanctions.

Prices for Brent crude for second-month delivery were also trading higher than prices for prompt delivery for the first time since the war, a sign of increased near-term supply.     

Market Sentiment and Analyst Insights

"Positive signals from the Persian Gulf are fuelling optimism about oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. Vessel crossings increased in recent days, although they remain well below pre-war levels," ING analysts wrote in a note. 

The U.S. also authorized Iranian oil sales this week, easing decades-old sanctions as it ‌pushes toward a final peace deal with Tehran in return for commitments on nuclear inspections and free transit through the Strait of Hormuz.

"If sanctions are eased, Iranian production and exports could ramp up relatively quickly given the substantial amount stored on tankers — we are likely talking weeks rather than months," said Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

Regional Shipping and Geopolitical Uncertainty

Oman said it would keep the strait open to shipping without imposing tolls and had designated two temporary routes north and south of the existing shipping lane to facilitate the safe passage of vessels leaving the region.

Uncertainty remains over the durability of the U.S.-Iran accord, however. U.S. President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that Iran had agreed to nuclear inspections into "infinity," although Tehran said it had made no such concession. 

U.S. Inventories and Forecasts

However, U.S. inventories remained tight on strong refining demand and amid a release of oil from the government's emergency stash. U.S. crude stocks, including commercial and those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell by 15.1 million barrels to 743.3 million barrels in the week ended June 19, the EIA said, the lowest level since 1984. 

J.P. Morgan on Wednesday lowered its second-half 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast due to lower-than-expected OECD commercial inventory draws and softer demand for oil. The bank sees Brent averaging $86 per barrel in the third quarter and $80 in the last quarter.

Other Global Oil Market Developments

Elsewhere, Moscow's oil refinery will be offline for at least six months after suffering extensive damage in Ukrainian drone attacks, two industry sources said on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Arathy Somasekhar in Houston, Anushree Mukherjee in Bengaluru, Yuka Obayashi in Tokyo and Jeslyn Lerh in Singapore. Editing by Louise Heaveans, Emelia Sithole-Matarise, Mark Potter, Rod Nickel)

Key Takeaways

  • Crude prices declined further on signs of improving tanker flows through Hormuz, with Brent at $76.71 and WTI at $72.85 per barrel as of 00:43 GMT on June 24, extending this week’s losses to near four‑month lows.
  • The U.S. granted Iran a 60‑day oil sanctions waiver allowing exports in U.S. dollars through August 21, potentially increasing global oil supply (worldoil.com).
  • Maritime data confirm multiple vessels—including three Saudi‑flagged supertankers carrying about 6 million barrels—have transited the strait after the U.S.–Iran interim agreement, signaling easing traffic constraints (investing.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are oil prices declining this week?
Oil prices are falling due to expectations of easier crude shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and hopes for easing U.S.-Iran tensions.
What triggered smoother oil flows in the Gulf region?
Initial peace talks and a 60-day U.S. sanctions waiver for Iran, along with de-escalation in Lebanon, have improved crude movement.
How have Brent and U.S. WTI crude benchmarks performed recently?
Both benchmarks dropped nearly 1% on Tuesday, trading near four-month lows.
What are analysts saying about future oil prices?
Analysts suggest that further progress in nuclear negotiations between the U.S. and Iran may push prices back to pre-war levels.
Are more oil tankers moving through the Strait of Hormuz?
Yes, ship-tracking data confirms that some previously stranded supertankers have recently passed through the strait.

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