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Meta narrows annual capex forecast, as AI buildout grows - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Meta narrows annual capex forecast, as AI buildout grows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 29, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: July 29, 2026

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Meta's free cash flow wiped out as AI buildout grows

By Katie Paul and Jaspreet Singh

Meta's Financial Performance and AI Investment

Sharp Decline in Free Cash Flow

July 29 (Reuters) - Meta Platforms reported a precipitous 91% drop in free cash flow on Wednesday, underscoring the financial strain of the social media giant's costly AI buildout despite an uncertain payoff.

The Facebook parent company reported free cash flow of $784 million in the second quarter, down from $8.55 billion reported a year earlier.

Shares of the company fell about 5% in extended trading.

Rising Capital Expenditures and Expenses

Updated Capital Expenditure Outlook

Meta also raised the lower end of its capital expenditure and total expenses outlooks. It now expects 2026 capital expenditure to be between $130 billion and $145 billion, compared with its prior forecast of $125 billion to $145 billion.

Updated Total Expenses Forecast

It expects full-year 2026 total expenses to be in the range of $165 billion to $169 billion, compared with its prior forecast of $162 billion to $169 billion. The company said this incorporates $2.4 billion in charges related to legal proceedings recognized in the second quarter.

Industry-Wide AI Spending Trends

Comparison with Alphabet

Meta's cash flow wipeout echoed Alphabet's, which last week said it was cash flow negative for the first time ever as it spent $5.9 billion in the second quarter. The rate of spending stunned even the most bullish of Wall Street investors, driving Alphabet's stock down.

Investor Sentiment

"Meta is investing everything into AI capacity, and that's what has investors spooked every time earnings are announced. Meta only narrowed the low end of capex guidance this time, but they're already spending extremely aggressively as a percent of revenue," said Luke Stillman, a managing director at research firm Madison and Wall.

Ad Business Performance

"The underlying ad business that's financing everything though is still performing well and is our main focus," he added.

Big Tech's AI Spending Outlook

The feverish spending by Big Tech is expected to reach well above $700 billion this year, primarily on AI, while Morgan Stanley has pegged the estimated spend at more than $1 trillion for the next year.

(Reporting by Katie Paul in New York and Jaspreet Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Shilpi Majumdar and Nia Williams)

Key Takeaways

  • Meta increased its lower‑end capex guidance from $125 billion to $130 billion as AI build‑out accelerates, while keeping the upper end at $145 billion (Reuters) (investing.com)
  • Collectively, Big Tech hyperscalers—including Meta—are expected to spend $650 billion–$725 billion on AI infrastructure in 2026, with AI‑related debt issuance projected to reach $570 billion (Reuters/Morgan Stanley; Financial Times) (investing.com)
  • Analysts see risks from aggressive capex: investors are watching for returns amid high valuations and rising leverage, with some pivoting from chipmakers to AI hyperscalers (Morgan Stanley warning; debt concerns) (marketscreener.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Meta increasing its investment in data centers?
Meta is expanding its data center fleet to boost AI computing power, supporting more precise ad targeting and recommendation systems.
How does Meta's AI spending compare to other Big Tech firms?
Big Tech AI spending is projected to exceed $700 billion this year, with Meta among the leaders in investing heavily in AI infrastructure.
How is Meta funding its new data centers?
Meta forms ventures with partners like BlackRock and Blue Owl Capital to fund data centers and keep debt off its balance sheet.
What legal risks does Meta face in relation to youth social media?
Meta faces lawsuits from several U.S. states, with possible $1.4 trillion in penalties over accusations related to addicting youth users on its social platforms.

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