France preliminary inflation rises to 2.8% in May, below forecasts - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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France preliminary inflation rises to 2.8% in May, below forecasts

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 29, 2026

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· Last updated: May 29, 2026

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French inflation at 27-month high of 2.8% in May, but below forecast

French Inflation Rises in May 2024

Overview of Inflation Data

May 29 (Reuters) - French inflation rose in May at the fastest pace in more than two years on surging energy prices, though slightly less than expected, preliminary data from statistics agency INSEE showed on Friday.

Monthly and Annual Inflation Rates

• Consumer prices rose 0.1% from April, pushing the 12-month inflation rate to 2.8%, the highest since February 2024 and up from 2.5% in April.

Harmonised Rate and Analyst Expectations

• The harmonised rate, adjusted for comparison with other euro zone countries, came in slightly short of a Reuters poll of 19 analysts' expectations, which had a median forecast of 2.9% and a range of 2.3% to 3.1%.

Drivers and Details of Inflation

Energy Prices as Main Driver

• The May increase was driven by a nearly 17% jump year on year in energy prices, particularly natural gas, the statistics office said.

Impact of Energy Costs on Other Prices

• However, there was little sign that energy costs, which have climbed sharply since the start of the Iran war, were feeding through into other prices.

Services and Manufactured Goods Inflation

• Services inflation edged up to 2% from 1.9% in April, while prices for manufactured goods fell for a second straight month, down 0.6%.

Reporting Credits

(Reporting by Hugo Lhomedet in Gdansk and Leigh Thomas in Paris. Editing by Milla Nissi-Prussak and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • May’s harmonised inflation rate at 2.8% is modestly lower than the 2.9% consensus from analysts, signalling contained consumer price pressures. (apnews.com)
  • The rise in inflation is primarily fueled by elevated energy prices, particularly natural gas, reflecting spillovers from the Middle East conflict. (apnews.com)
  • France’s inflation remains below the broader eurozone average—Eurozone HICP hit ~3.0% in May—underscoring France’s relative insulation, thanks in part to its high nuclear generation share. (fxmacrodata.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What was France's inflation rate in May 2024?
France's harmonized inflation rate for May 2024 was 2.8% year-on-year.
How did May's inflation rate in France compare to analyst expectations?
The May inflation rate of 2.8% was below the median analyst forecast of 2.9%.
What drove the rise in France's inflation in May 2024?
Higher energy prices, particularly for natural gas, were the main contributors.
Who provided the preliminary inflation data for France?
The preliminary inflation data was provided by France's statistics agency INSEE.
How does France's inflation rate compare within the euro zone?
France's harmonized rate is adjusted for comparison with other euro zone countries.

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