EU could lose 1.3 million jobs due to energy price surge linked to Iran war, Commission says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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EU could lose 1.3 million jobs due to energy price surge linked to Iran war, Commission says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 3, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: June 3, 2026

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EU at Risk of Major Job Losses Amid Energy Price Surge Tied to Iran Conflict

Impact of Energy Price Surge on EU Employment

BRUSSELS, June 3 (Reuters) - European automotive, construction, metals, chemicals and transport sectors could lose up to 1.3 million jobs this year as a result of a surge in energy prices caused by the U.S.-Iran conflict, Labour Commissioner Roxana Minzatu said on Wednesday.    "Due to the war in the Middle East, up to 1.3 million jobs are at risk and we are talking about jobs in energy-intensive industry, particularly," Minzatu told a news conference.

Sector-Specific Job Loss Estimates

Automotive Industry

• The EU automotive sector could face the biggest layoffs of up to 600,000, the European Commission estimated.

Construction, Metals, Chemicals, and Transport

• Construction, metals, chemicals, transport could lose 56,000 jobs.

Battery and Solar Manufacturing

• Some 85,000 jobs in battery projects could be at risk and 58,852 jobs in solar manufacturing.

Steel Sector and Low-Carbon Measures

• Another 4,500 jobs could go in the steel sector because of low-carbon measures.

Broader Economic and Social Impacts

Effect on Low-Income Households

• Low-income households could spend an additional 1.4% of income on transport fuel.

Employment in Manufacturing and Services

• The EU manufacturing sector employs around 30 million people, while services provide almost 87 million jobs.

Reporting and Editing

(Reporting by Jan StrupczewskiEditing by Gareth Jones)

Key Takeaways

  • Energy‑intensive industries across the EU—especially automotive—face massive job losses; the auto sector alone could lose up to 600,000 jobs.
  • Europe’s heavy reliance on imported fossil fuels leaves it vulnerable to geopolitical shocks like the Iran conflict, exacerbating energy costs and employment risks.
  • Existing EU relief tools (e.g., Contracts for Difference, Power Purchase Agreements) may fall short; industries demand emergency measures to preserve competitiveness and jobs.

Frequently Asked Questions

How many jobs could the EU lose due to rising energy prices?
The EU could lose up to 1.3 million jobs this year as a result of surging energy prices linked to the U.S.-Iran conflict.
Which sectors are most at risk for job losses in the EU?
The automotive, construction, metals, chemicals, transport, battery projects, and solar manufacturing sectors are most at risk.
How many automotive jobs could be lost in the EU?
Up to 600,000 jobs could be lost in the EU automotive sector due to rising energy prices.
How will low-income households be affected?
Low-income households could spend an additional 1.4% of their income on transport fuel as a result of energy price increases.
What triggered the surge in EU energy prices?
The surge in EU energy prices is attributed to the ongoing conflict involving the U.S. and Iran in the Middle East.

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