Stock indexes register records after upbeat company forecasts; oil drops
Market Highlights and Economic Developments
By Caroline Valetkevitch and Stefano Rebaudo
NEW YORK/MILAN, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Major stock indexes hit record highs on Tuesday following upbeat forecasts from Caterpillar and other companies, and oil prices extended recent sharp declines.
Stock Index Performance
The Dow, S&P 500 and pan-European STOXX 600 all reached records.
Currency Movements
The Japanese yen weakened, but held on to most of its intervention-driven gains after last week's joint action by Tokyo and Washington to support the currency.
Oil Market Dynamics
Weighing on oil were comments by Qatari and U.S. officials that raised hopes for a diplomatic resolution to the Iran war that could improve oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz.
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio said on Tuesday there was progress in talks with Iran and Oman about moving more ships through the strait, but a final agreement had yet to be reached. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent earlier said that a deal with Iran to reopen the strait could come as soon as Tuesday or Wednesday.
Brent crude futures fell $4.41, or 5.3%, to settle at $79.36 a barrel, the lowest since July 13. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures dropped $4.57, or 5.7%, to settle at $75.77 a barrel, also a three-week low.
Corporate Earnings and Investor Sentiment
Caterpillar and Palantir Results
Shares of Caterpillar, often seen as a bellwether for the global industrial economy, rose after the company increased its annual revenue growth forecast as it benefited from a buildout of AI data centers, while shares of Palantir Technologies surged as the company also raised its annual revenue forecast.
Investor Reaction
Investors are reacting to "stronger earnings and stronger expectations," said Oliver Pursche, senior vice president and adviser for Wealthspire Advisors in Westport, Connecticut. "There's a general sense of optimism out there and that's being reflected."
More than 80% of S&P 500 companies are beating analysts' earnings expectations for the last quarter, according to LSEG data.
Major Index Closings
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 907.47 points, or 1.71%, to 54,085.88, and the S&P 500 gained 136.02 points, or 1.79%, to 7,736.52, each setting all-time closing highs. The Nasdaq Composite rose 671.10 points, or 2.59%, to 26,584.99.
After-Hours Movements
After the closing bell, shares of SpaceX were about 7% lower. The company posted its first quarterly results as a public company, highlighting a 92% rise in revenue on strong growth in its Starlink satellite-internet and AI businesses.
Global and European Markets
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 14.68 points, or 1.30%, to 1,145.69. It hit an intraday record high and was set to close at a record.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.73% to 656.86, a record high close. It was lifted by gains in technology stocks and a slate of corporate earnings updates.
Currency and Bond Market Updates
Yen Eases After Intervention
Recent Yen Movements
YEN EASES AFTER INTERVENTION-DRIVEN RALLY
The yen was down 0.38% at 157.79 per dollar in afternoon trading following coordinated intervention by U.S. and Japanese authorities to prop up the yen last week.
The Japanese currency remains stronger against the greenback compared with levels a week ago that prompted official support and marked the first U.S. intervention in the Japanese foreign exchange market in 15 years.
The dollar index eased 0.13% at 99.88.
Bond Yields and Fed Expectations
Interest rate sensitive two-year U.S. Treasury yields fell to a two-week low as oil prices tumbled, and traders repriced for lower odds of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September.
Federal Reserve Outlook
Most analysts believe Fed Chair Kevin Warsh does not want to hike rates, and the incoming data could provide him enough cover to stay put.
The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with Fed interest rate expectations, fell 6.22 basis points to 4.194% and reached 4.1897%, the lowest level since July 20.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 5.72 basis points to 4.627%.
(Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York and Stefano Rebaudo. Editing by Jamie Freed, Mark Potter, Deepa Babington and Aurora Ellis)
