Asian Markets Rise Following Wall Street Rally, Oil Remains Steady
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
Market Overview and Key Drivers
Asian Market Performance
SINGAPORE, Aug 4 (Reuters) - Asian markets made cautious gains at the start of trading as investors followed a global rally, with oil prices holding near the lowest levels in weeks as the U.S.-Iran conflict remained at a stalemate.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan was up 0.1%, led by South Korean shares rallying as much as 2.1%. Japan's Nikkei 225 slid 0.3%, while S&P 500 e-mini futures nudged 0.1% higher.
Wall Street Influence
Overnight, markets took confidence from data showing that U.S. manufacturing activity increased to the highest level in more than four years in July, sending the Dow Jones Industrial Average to a record close.
"Risk markets have clearly turned a corner," said Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone Group in Melbourne. "If the constructive tone from European and U.S. equity markets carries through, buyers should emerge early in the session and provide support for regional risk assets."
Commodities and Currencies
Oil Prices and Geopolitical Factors
Oil prices made limited gains as trading resumed in Asia, with Brent crude up 0.6% at $84.29 a barrel, after falling to a three-week low on Monday as U.S. President Donald Trump said he had held off on a fresh attack on Iran as a gesture of goodwill in peace talks. However, Tehran has denied that any negotiations are taking place.
Currency Movements
Against the yen, the dollar was up 0.3% at 157.625 yen, rebuilding strength after coordinated intervention by U.S. and Japanese authorities to prop up the yen last week.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was pinned near the lowest levels of the past two months at 99.99.
Bond Yields
The yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury bond was up 0.2 basis point at 4.684%.
Central Bank Policy and Outlook
Federal Reserve Expectations
Market pricing continues to indicate that September's Federal Reserve meeting will bring an increase to interest rates. Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 65% probability of a 25-basis-point hike at the U.S. central bank's next two-day meeting ending on September 16, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams said he remained optimistic that inflation pressures are on track to ease gradually, but said the Fed will hike rates if inflation doesn't slow.
Cryptocurrency Market Update
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin and ether both slipped 0.5% to $63,446.35 and $1,857.44 respectively.
(Reporting by Gregor Stuart HunterEditing by Shri Navaratnam)