Few in US say Iran war was worth it; Trump approval ties lowest of term, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
Reuters/Ipsos Poll Reveals Public Opinion on Iran War and Trump Approval
By Jason Lange
WASHINGTON, June 23 (Reuters) - Just one in four Americans believes President Donald Trump's war with Iran was worth its costs and a majority worry that a truce with Tehran is unlikely to last, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
The five-day poll, which closed on Monday, also showed the war weighing heavily on Trump's popularity, with his approval rating dropping to 34%, a return to the lowest level of the Republican's second term that was last touched in an April survey.
Public Perception of the Iran War
Only 23% of Americans — including just half of Republicans — think the U.S. is now in a stronger position with Iran compared with its position before the war, the poll found. Some 35% of respondents think it is in a weaker position. The rest said they were not sure or that the U.S. position was about the same as before.
Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian signed a preliminary deal on June 17 that would reopen oil and gas shipping lanes that were frozen by the conflict, while easing U.S.-led economic pressure on Iran.
Economic Impact and Oil Prices
The deal has led to a rapid drop in global crude oil prices, although for most Americans the price of gasoline remains considerably higher than it was before the February 28 U.S.-Israeli strikes that started the war. Iran responded to the initial attack with strikes that shut down a fifth of the global oil trade and damaged energy facilities of U.S. regional allies.
Was the Iran War Worth the Costs?
Poll Results on War Costs
NOT WORTH THE COSTS
Only 24% of Americans think the war with Iran was worth the costs, the Reuters/Ipsos poll showed. Half of poll respondents said the conflict was not worth it and the rest were unsure.
Prospects for Lasting Peace
Some 63% of Americans think it unlikely that the deal Trump signed will lead to lasting peace between the two countries. About half of Republicans and eight in 10 Democrats said the deal was unlikely to deliver peace. Just 18% of Americans — including 10% of Democrats and 34% of Republicans — see lasting peace as likely.
Trump's Approval Ratings and Political Implications
Economic and Political Factors
Trump won the 2024 presidential election after promising to reduce inflation and keep America out of costly foreign wars. His political brand has long leaned on his background as a deal-making real estate developer and reality television star.
Trump's approval rating on the cost of living, at 22%, was near the lowest level of his presidency and below the rating of his Democratic predecessor in the White House, Joe Biden, at the end of his presidency.
Impact on Midterm Elections
Republican Prospects
MIDTERMS LOOM
Trump started his current term with a 47% approval rating, but his popularity has suffered amid high rates of inflation as well as controversy over his aggressive efforts to deport people in the country illegally, which have included deadly confrontations with pro-immigration activists.
His falling popularity could weigh on his Republican allies when they defend their congressional majorities in the November 3 midterm elections. The Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that just 17% of independent registered voters said they would vote for the Republican in their district if the election were held today, compared with 34% who said they would pick the Democrat.
Approval on Immigration
The latest Reuters/Ipsos poll showed just 37% of Americans approved of how Trump has handled immigration, the lowest of his term and down from 40% in the prior Reuters/Ipsos poll.
Poll Methodology
The latest poll gathered responses from 1,262 U.S. adults nationwide and its results had a margin of error of 3 percentage points in either direction.
(Reporting by Jason Lange; Editing by Scott Malone and Edmund Klamann)
