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Italian manufacturing cost pressures continue to mount, PMI shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 1, 2026

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· Last updated: June 1, 2026

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Italian Manufacturing Costs Rise Sharply in May, PMI Data Reveals Ongoing Pressures

Rising Costs and Economic Outlook in Italian Manufacturing Sector

Input Cost Inflation Accelerates

ROME, June 1 (Reuters) - Cost pressures in Italy's manufacturing sector rose for a fifth month running in May, fuelled by the conflict in the Middle East, a survey showed on Monday.

The measure of input cost inflation in the Italian S&P Global Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) accelerated to 76.5 from 75.4 in April, the highest reading since May 2022.

Italian consumer price inflation jumped to 3.3% in May, preliminary data showed last week, as energy costs surged.    

Manufacturing Activity and Orders

PMI and Output Trends

The headline PMI, a broader gauge of manufacturing activity, rose to 52.9, its highest level in more than four years, from April's 52.1, climbing further above the 50-mark that separates growth from contraction.

A Reuters survey of nine analysts had pointed to a 51.9 reading in May.

New Orders and Output Sub-Indexes

The new orders sub-index rose to 51.2 from 49.1 in April to post its highest reading in six months, while the output sub-index reached 53.2 from 52.4 the month before, a level not seen since March 2023.    

Stockpiling and Future Demand Concerns

The improvement in order book volumes probably "reflected clients' attempts to build safety reserves due to shortages and expected price increases," S&P Global said in its report, suggesting that concerns remained around the Middle East conflict.

"This new improvement in demand seen across the sector is likely to be unsustainable when the boost from stockpiling inevitably fades," said S&P Global economist Eleanor Dennison.    

Government Economic Forecasts

Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni's government in April cut its economic growth outlook to 0.6% for this year and next from previous targets of 0.7% and 0.8% respectively.

The government forecast a 0.8% growth rate for 2028, which would mark six consecutive years of sub-1% growth.

Reporting Credits

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, editing by Gavin Jones and Toby Chopra)

Key Takeaways

  • Input cost inflation in Italian manufacturing rose to 76.5 in May from 75.4 in April, marking a multi‑year high and signaling sustained pressure from energy prices and the Middle East conflict
  • Headline S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 52.9—its highest level in over four years—driven by gains in output (53.2) and new orders (51.2), though these indicators may be boosted by precautionary stockpiling
  • Italian annual consumer inflation accelerated to roughly 3.2–3.3 % in May, led by soaring energy costs, while the government continues to forecast sub‑1 % growth in coming years

Frequently Asked Questions

What caused the recent rise in Italian manufacturing cost pressures?
Cost pressures increased due to the continuing conflict in the Middle East and rising energy prices.
How did the Italian Manufacturing PMI change in May?
The PMI rose to 52.9 in May, up from 52.1 in April, indicating growth in the sector.
What was the input cost inflation index for Italy in May?
The input cost inflation index accelerated to 76.5 in May from 75.4 in April, the highest since May 2022.
How is Italian consumer price inflation performing?
Italian consumer price inflation climbed to 3.3% in May amid surging energy costs.
What is the Italian government's economic growth outlook?
The government expects 0.6% GDP growth for 2024 and 2025, and 0.8% in 2028, marking six years of sub-1% growth.

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