German Consumer Confidence Slumps Sharply as Energy Prices Squeeze Households
Sharp Decline in German Consumer Sentiment Amid Rising Energy Costs
FRANKFURT, Sept 25 (Reuters) - German consumer sentiment weakened more sharply than expected heading into October, as rising energy prices soured households' income outlook, a survey showed on Friday.
Consumer Sentiment Index Falls Below Expectations
The consumer sentiment index, published by the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions and the GfK market research institute, fell to -30.6 points heading into October from a revised -26.8 in September, missing the -27.4 average estimate in a Reuters poll of analysts.
Impact of High Energy Prices on Households
"The majority of households expect that high energy prices will diminish their purchasing power," said Rolf Buerkl, head of consumer climate at NIM.
Income Expectations and Purchasing Power
The income expectations sub-index slumped 16.7 points to -15.0, its lowest level since April 2026, shortly before a fuel discount was introduced.
"Consequently, they are more sceptical about income prospects for the next 12 months," he added.
Shifts in Saving and Spending Behavior
Households' willingness to save jumped 6 points to 21.5, its highest level since the 2008 financial crisis, as consumers responded to elevated energy costs, the survey found.
NIM said the rise was especially pronounced among wealthier households.
The willingness to buy edged down 1 point to -10.8, only slightly above the year-earlier level of -11.6, and has hovered around that mark for more than three years.
Economic Expectations Show Modest Improvement
Economic expectations, by contrast, rose half a point to -3.4, a fifth consecutive increase, as Germany's economy performed better than expected in the first half of 2026.
Key Consumer Sentiment Data
OCT 2026 SEP 2026 OCT 2025
Consumer climate -30.6 -26.8 -22.5
Components SEP 2026 AUG 2026 SEP 2025
Economic -3.4 -3.9 -1.4
expectations
Income expectations -15.0 1.7 15.1
Willingness to buy -10.8 -9.8 -11.6
Willingness to save 21.5 15.5 16.1
Price expectations -0.4 -0.2 -6.3
Survey Methodology and Index Interpretation
The survey was conducted September 3-14, based on around 2,000 consumer interviews.
The consumer sentiment index is designed to forecast consumer behaviour in the following month.
A one-point change in the indicator corresponds to a year-on-year change of 0.1% in private consumption.
A reading above zero indicates year-on-year growth in private consumption. A value below zero indicates a drop.
(Reporting by Ludwig Burger, editing by Thomas Seythal)
