Oil Prices Drop 2% as US-Iran Seek Truce and Diesel Export Ban Looms
By Scott DiSavino
Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments Impacting Oil Prices
NEW YORK, Sept 25 (Reuters) - Oil prices fell about 2% on Friday on mounting hopes for a truce between the US and Iran and talk about a possible US ban on diesel exports, even as traders worried that increasing attacks against Saudi Arabia by Houthi fighters could disrupt supply from the Middle Eastern producer.
Oil Price Movements
Brent futures fell $2.28, or 2.1%, to settle at $104.32 a barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $2.20, or 2.3%, to settle at $92.41.
That put Brent up less than 1% for the week and WTI down about 8%.
US-Iran Negotiations and the Strait of Hormuz
US and Iranian negotiators in New York are exploring a phased path out of war that would involve Tehran reopening the Strait of Hormuz and Washington lifting its economic blockade of Iran, sources close to the talks said.
Iran's Stance on Nuclear Program
Iran, however, said it will show no flexibility over its nuclear program even if the US accepts its proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, which calls for steps including lifting a US naval blockade on Iranian ports, a senior Iranian official told Reuters on Friday.
Diesel Export Ban and Market Implications
"The complex is again coming under pressure ... as the market continues to assess the possibility of a (US) diesel export ban while talk of diplomatic progress toward opening the Strait of Hormuz is adding to today’s selling," analysts at energy advisory firm Ritterbusch and Associates said in a note.
Washington's talk of a possible ban on diesel exports is widening the gap between US crude oil futures and the global Brent benchmark, a signal that markets expect US refiners to process less crude oil if their diesel output gets stuck at home.
The premium of Brent crude over WTI rose to its highest since May for a third day in a row, while US gasoline futures fell around 4% on Friday.
Regional Security and Oil Supply Risks
Help for Saudi Arabia
Saudi, Turkish and Pakistani military chiefs are to discuss help for Saudi Arabia as it faces attacks by Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthis.
Houthi Attacks and Oil Flows
The Houthis have launched strikes on the Saudi-backed government in Yemen and repeatedly fired into Saudi Arabia, disrupting oil flows from the world's largest energy exporter, part of a wider Middle East war that began with US and Israeli strikes on Iran on February 28.
Crude oil flows out of the Strait of Hormuz reached 33.7 million barrels in the week starting September 20, preliminary ship-tracking data from Kpler showed on Friday, putting exports roughly on track with the previous week's levels.
Before the start of the Iran war, about 20% of the world's oil supplies moved through the strait.
US-China Relations and Energy Demand
Separately, US President Donald Trump made clear during talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping that Chinese help for Iran is unacceptable, US Ambassador to China David Perdue said on Friday.
Any agreements to reduce trade tensions between the US and China could boost economic growth and demand for energy.
Russian and Ukraine Conflict
Diplomatic Efforts and Energy Impact
The US has proposed that the United Arab Emirates host a trilateral meeting with Ukraine and Russia to discuss efforts to end their 4-1/2-year-long war, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy said.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said all proposals for a settlement in the 4-1/2-year-old war with Ukraine remained on the table, but Moscow still needed to assess what was in its best interest, Russian news agencies reported.
Drone Attacks and Oil Infrastructure
A drone attack damaged the Novoshakhtinsk oil refinery in Russia, forcing it to suspend operations temporarily, Governor Yuri Slyusar said.
Heavy drone strikes on Russian refineries followed discussions at UN headquarters in New York on a potential energy-related ceasefire between Kyiv and Moscow.
Any deal to end the Russia-Ukraine war could allow Russia to export more energy. Russia, an OPEC+ member, was the world's third-biggest crude oil producer behind the US and Saudi Arabia in 2025, according to US energy data.
(Reporting by Scott DiSavino, Stephanie Kelly, Helen Clark and Sethuraman NR; Editing by Mark Potter, Kirsten Donovan and David Gregorio)
