Le Pen and Melenchon Lead in 2027 French Presidential Poll, Macron Era Ends
French Presidential Election Poll Results and Political Landscape
Le Pen and Melenchon Dominate Polls
PARIS, Sept 14 (Reuters) - French far-right leader Marine Le Pen maintained her lead ahead of the presidential election and far-left rival Jean-Luc Melenchon was second in most tested scenarios, a poll showed on Monday, stressing the electorate's growing polarisation as Emmanuel Macron's era ends.
First-Round Voting Intentions
• Le Pen would garner between 33% and 36% of the votes of the first-round election depending on the scenarios tested by pollster Toluna Harris Interactive, in a survey carried out between September 8 and September 10.
Melenchon's Prospects and Run-Off Scenarios
• Melenchon, the candidate of the far-left France Unbowed (LFI) party, is seen reaching a run-off in at least three of the five scenarios polled, while he tied for second place in a fourth scenario. Le Pen is seen beating him easily in a run-off.
Performance of Centre-Right Candidates
• Macron's former Prime Minister Edouard Philippe is the only centre-right candidate coming ahead of Melenchon in one scenario tested and tying in another one. The others would end up behind in all scenarios.
End of Macron Era and Political Shifts
Impact on Political Centre and Economy
• As Macron's second and final term comes to an end, the unpopular president leaves behind a hollowed-out political centre and weak economy, opening space for hardline parties, such as LFI and Le Pen's National Rally.
Historical Context: Previous Presidential Runs
Melenchon and Le Pen's Election History
• Melenchon has already run three times for president in 2012, 2017 and 2022 but has never managed to reach the second round. Le Pen has also run these same three times. She made it to the run-off in 2017 and 2022 but lost to Macron.
(Reporting by Inti Landauro; Editing by David Gregorio)
