Finland’s Stubb: Russia Unlikely to Test NATO’s Military Strength or Resolve
Stubb’s Assessment of Russia and NATO Security
Stubb Dismisses Likelihood of Russian Attack on NATO
BERLIN, Aug 29 (Reuters) - Finland's President Alexander Stubb said he did not believe Russia would risk an attack against a NATO country, telling Germany's Bild newspaper it would "make no sense" to test the resolve of the alliance.
Western Concerns Over Russian Hybrid Operations
Western officials have warned of a growing risk of Russian hybrid operations, including cyber attacks, against European countries potentially leading to a direct confrontation with the NATO alliance. German officials have said they assess Russia would be in a position to attack a NATO country by 2029.
Stubb’s Response to Threat Assessments
"If anyone has a crystal ball like that – that's great. I simply see neither evidence nor facts to support it," he told Bild in an interview published on Saturday, adding he did not believe that Russia "would ever want to attack NATO, the world's most powerful military alliance."
Finland’s NATO Membership and Preparedness
Stubb, whose country joined NATO in 2023, abandoning its previous policy of neutrality following Russia's invasion of Ukraine a year earlier, said the alliance had to be prepared for any scenario but he did not believe Moscow was in a position to go to war with NATO.
NATO’s Military Strength as a Deterrent
He said NATO's strength in conventional weapons, missiles and nuclear weapons was too strong to attack, adding that he had intelligence information to back his assessment.
"It makes no sense for any power in the world to test the resolve of this alliance," Stubb said.
Russia’s Current Military Situation
Information Warfare and Human Losses
He said Russia was trying to spread alarm in Europe through its information war. But it was currently taking unsustainable losses in Ukraine, losing around 30,000-35,000 troops a month and recruiting only around 27,000.
Challenges Facing Russian Forces
"So they have fewer and fewer soldiers in an increasingly complex situation," he said. "I simply cannot see them suddenly being able to mobilise forces for two fronts."
Ukraine’s Strategic Importance for Europe
Stubb said Ukraine was in a stronger position than at any time during the war, and it was vital that Europe continued to support Kjiv.
European Support for Ukraine as a Security Guarantee
"We must understand – you in Germany and we in Finland – that Ukraine is the best security guarantee we have against Russia. If Ukraine loses, we lose," he said.
(Reporting by James MackenzieEditing by Nick Zieminski)
