Asian Markets Fluctuate After Weak US Jobs Data Lowers Fed Rate Hike Expectations
Market Reactions and Economic Indicators
By Gregor Stuart Hunter
Asian Stock Market Performance
SINGAPORE, July 3 (Reuters) - Stocks made a mixed start to the Asian trading session on Friday after a lukewarm U.S. jobs report poured cold water on the prospect of an imminent rate hike from the Federal Reserve.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fluctuated between gains and losses, edging up 0.1% after two consecutive days of declines.
South Korea's Kospi weighed on the regional benchmark in sympathy with sharp falls in chipmakers in U.S. trading. S&P 500 e-mini futures and Nasdaq e-mini futures were both up 0.1%, while Japan's Nikkei 225 was down 1%.
US Jobs Data and Fed Rate Hike Expectations
U.S. job growth slowed sharply in June and payroll gains for the prior two months were revised lower, according to data released on Thursday, pointing to a cooling labour market. The unemployment rate dropped to 4.2% last month from 4.3% in May as workers left the labour force, pushing the participation rate to the lowest level in more than five years.
Analyst Commentary
"The figures challenged the narrative that the Fed remains on track to hike in the second half of this year," Westpac analysts wrote in a research report.
Market Expectations for Fed Policy
The tepid jobs data doused traders' expectations of an imminent rate hike and raised the odds that the Fed will keep rates on hold until October.
Fed funds futures are pricing an implied 46.8% probability that the U.S. central bank will keep rates steady at its meeting on September 15 to 16, compared to a 35.8% chance a day earlier, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool.
Wall Street and Currency Movements
US Stock Market Overview
Overnight, stocks on Wall Street were a mixed bag as the S&P 500 was flat and the Nasdaq Composite slipped 0.8%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose to a record close.
The U.S. market will be closed on Friday in observance of the Independence Day holiday.
Currency Market Developments
Against the yen, the U.S. dollar was up 0.2% at 161.435 yen at the start of Asian trading, with market liquidity thinned by the holiday.
Japanese Yen Volatility
The greenback clawed back some strength after a twitchy session on Thursday, with a sudden bout of strength in the Japanese currency after Reuters reported authorities have adopted a new approach to their forays into the market. It was not immediately clear what drove the rally.
The U.S. dollar index, which measures the greenback's strength against a basket of six currencies, was steady at 100.98 after sliding 0.5% on Thursday.
Commodities and Cryptocurrencies Update
Commodities Performance
In commodities, Brent crude futures slipped 0.4% to $71.49 as trading resumed in Asia. Gold was up 0.1% at $4,125.49.
Cryptocurrency Market Movements
In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin was down 0.4% at $61,306.45, while ether was down 0.7% at $1,692.16.
(Reporting by Gregor Stuart Hunter; Editing by Jamie Freed)
