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Asian stocks steady, oil lower as US and Iran sign peace deal - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
Finance

Asian stocks steady, oil lower as US and Iran sign peace deal

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 18, 2026

4 min read

· Last updated: June 19, 2026

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Stocks climb on chips, Brent gains on Iran deal doubts

Market Overview and Key Drivers

By Caroline Valetkevitch

NEW YORK, June 18 (Reuters) - Major stock indexes climbed on Thursday as semiconductor shares jumped, while Brent oil touched its lowest level in weeks before finishing slightly higher.

Oil Markets and Middle East Developments

An interim deal between the United States and Iran to end the Middle East war took effect, and oil tankers sailed through the Strait of Hormuz, pointing to a resumption of long restricted energy flows.

U.S. Vice President JD Vance, however, warned Israel against further attacks on Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon, raising doubts about the durability of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement.

Brent and WTI Performance

Brent crude futures gained 30 cents, or 0.38%, to settle at $79.85 a barrel after sliding as low as $76.54 earlier in the session. U.S. West Texas Intermediate fell 19 cents or 0.25% to finish at $76.60 a barrel.

Regional Impact

Europe is more vulnerable to an increase in inflation from higher oil prices than the United States.

Currency and Federal Reserve Moves

The U.S. dollar index hit a one-year high after a hawkish tilt by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday raised bets on rate increases this year.

Stock Market Performance

The Nasdaq gained 1.9% and led gains on Wall Street, while the Philadelphia semiconductor index rose 6.4%.

Semiconductor Surge

U.S. President Donald Trump said iPhone maker Apple had agreed to work with Intel to design and manufacture its chips in the U.S.. Intel shares jumped 10.6%.

Market Sentiment

Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities in New York, noted the rebound in stocks from a day earlier.

"The reason for the optimism was Trump and the president of Iran signed the memorandum and oil prices fell," he said, adding: "There is enthusiasm that after 60 days a more solid deal will come to fruition and, by that time, hopefully the low supply factor in the oil market will be reversed."

DOLLAR FIRM

Major Indexes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 72.15 points, or 0.14%, to 51,564.70, the S&P 500 rose 80.48 points, or 1.08%, to 7,500.58 and the Nasdaq Composite rose 496.28 points, or 1.91%, to 26,517.93.

Weekly Performance

With the market closed on Friday for the Juneteenth holiday marking the emancipation of enslaved Black Americans, the S&P 500 showed a 0.93% weekly gain compared with the Nasdaq's 2.43% advance and the Dow's 0.71% increase.

MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose 6.48 points, or 0.58%, to 1,127.60.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.34%.

Currency Markets

In foreign exchange, the dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen, euro and sterling, rose 0.45% to 100.80, the highest level since May 2025. It surged 0.85% the previous session, its biggest single-day jump in over three months.

Central Bank Actions

The U.S. central bank on Wednesday held rates steady in a 3.50% to 3.75% range as Kevin Warsh took charge with a sweeping policy review. The Fed funds futures market is pricing in 68% odds of a rate hike by September, LSEG data shows.

Yen and Sterling Movements

The Japanese yen weakened as far as 161.45 per dollar, its lowest since July 2024, wiping out gains made after Tokyo's intervention on April 30. A break above the currency pair's 2024 high of 161.99 would send the yen to its weakest level since 1986.

Sterling fell 0.62% to $1.3206 after the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged.

Bond and Commodity Markets

U.S. Treasury yields fell after rising the day before. The two-year yield, the most sensitive to Fed rate-change expectations, was down 1 basis point on Thursday at 4.153%, after rising as high as 4.207% on Wednesday. The 10-year yield was down 3 basis points at 4.437%.

U.S. gold futures fell 3.1% to settle at $4,245.9.

(Reporting by Caroline Valetkevitch in New York; additional reporting by Sinéad Carew in New York, Amanda Cooper in London, Satoshi Sugiyama in Tokyo; Editing by Elaine Hardcastle, Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Asia‑Pacific equities were flat as markets digested the U.S.‑Iran interim peace pact; Japan’s Nikkei surged to a fresh record above 71,000, supported by semiconductor and AI shares.
  • Oil prices declined—U.S. crude down ~1.3% at $75.8 and Brent ~1.4% at $78.4—while the IEA forecasted a substantial oil supply surplus in 2027 as Middle East production rebounds and the Strait of Hormuz reopens.
  • U.S. stock futures gained modestly, but all three major U.S. indexes dropped over 1% overnight amid speculation of further Fed tightening; Fed Chair Kevin Warsh left rates unchanged but signaled a hawkish stance, downplaying forward guidance and favoring trimmed‑mean inflation metrics.

Frequently Asked Questions

What impact did the US-Iran peace deal have on Asian stocks?
Asian stocks remained steady as investors assessed progress after the US and Iran signed an interim peace deal extending the Middle East ceasefire.
How did oil prices react to the US-Iran peace deal?
Oil prices fell, with US crude dipping 1.25% to $75.83 per barrel and Brent crude down 1.4% to $78.41 per barrel.
Which Asian stock markets showed gains?
Japan's Nikkei share average reached record highs and South Korean shares gained 0.9%.
What changes occurred in the currency and bond markets?
The dollar rose slightly against the yen, and yields on both Japanese and US government bonds increased.

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