Oil prices settle down after Vance cites progress in Iran talks
Market Reactions and Geopolitical Developments
By Georgina McCartney
Oil Price Movements Following Diplomatic Progress
HOUSTON, May 19 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled lower on Tuesday after Vice President JD Vance said the U.S. and Iran had made progress in talks, with neither side wanting to see a resumption of military action.
"We think that we've made a lot of progress. We think the Iranians want to make a deal," Vance told reporters at a White House briefing.
U.S. Stance and Ongoing Negotiations
On Monday, Trump posted on social media that he was holding off on a military attack that had been scheduled for Tuesday. Efforts to reach a deal with Iran continued, though he added the U.S. was ready to resume attacks if a deal was not reached.
Brent and WTI Futures Performance
Brent futures for July settled down 82 cents, or 0.73%, at $111.28 a barrel. The U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude contract for June delivery, which expired on Tuesday, settled down 89 cents, or 0.82%, to $107.77. The more-active July contract settled down 23 cents at $104.15.
Even with Tuesday's dip, prices remained elevated. On Monday, Brent hit its highest since May 5 and WTI its highest since April 30.
Expert Commentary on Oil Market Uncertainty
"We continue to have significant amounts of oil offline and with the regional infrastructure being in the crosshairs we are just holding our breath here until either we get a deal or another round of military action, so a pretty significant binary outcome awaits," said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital.
Impact of Middle East Conflict on Oil Supply
The Middle East conflict has effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, a critical waterway that typically carries daily about a fifth of global supplies of oil and liquefied natural gas, creating the world's biggest oil supply disruption, according to the International Energy Agency.
Iran’s Peace Proposal and U.S. Sanctions
Tehran's latest peace proposal to the U.S. involves ending hostilities on all fronts including Lebanon, the exit of U.S. forces from areas close to Iran and reparations for destruction caused by the war, state media reported on Tuesday.
Meanwhile, the U.S. imposed sanctions on an Iranian foreign currency exchange house and what it said were front companies overseeing transactions on behalf of Iranian banks. It also blocked 19 vessels it said were involved in shipping Iranian petroleum and petrochemicals to foreign customers.
Global Oil Market Adjustments
Chinese Refiners Cut Oil Throughput
Elsewhere, Chinese state refiners have slashed oil throughput by more than 1 million barrels per day since the outbreak of the Iran war, analysts and market sources said, as disruption to crude supplies and poor margins forced them to scale back operations.
Chinese state refiners are processing 8.4 million barrels per day of crude this month, down from 8.6 million bpd in April and 9.5 million bpd in March, according to consultancy Energy Aspects. That compares with about 10 million bpd before the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran at the end of February.
Sanctions and Supply Disruptions in Russia
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent extended a sanctions waiver by 30 days to allow "energy-vulnerable" countries to continue purchasing Russian seaborne oil. Separately, Russia's Ryazan oil refinery, which accounts for almost 5% of the country's total refining volumes, stopped processing after a Ukrainian drone attack last Friday, two industry sources said on Tuesday.
U.S. Oil Reserves and Inventory Data
In the U.S., a record 9.9 million barrels were drawn last week from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, Energy Department data showed. This reduced stockpiles to about 374 million barrels, the lowest since July 2024.
U.S. crude stocks are expected to have fallen by about 3.4 million barrels in the week to May 15. The weekly data from the Energy Information Administration is due on Wednesday. [EIA/S]
Contributors
(Additional reporting by Georgina McCartney in Houston, Alex Lawler and Robert Harvey in London, Anmol Choubey, Trixie Yap and Pooja Menon; Editing by Mark Potter, Susan Fenton, David Goodman, Bill Berkrot and David Gregorio)
