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Ryanair seeks to double traffic in Baltic region after airBaltic bankruptcy - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Ryanair seeks to double traffic in Baltic region after airBaltic bankruptcy

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 17, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: September 17, 2026

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Ryanair Targets Doubling of Baltic Traffic Following airBaltic Bankruptcy Filing

Ryanair's Expansion Plans in the Baltic Region

By Padraic Halpin

DUBLIN, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Ryanair said on Thursday it plans to double passenger numbers in the Baltic region over the next five years, seeking to capitalise on airBaltic's retrenchment and bankruptcy protection filing.

The plans by Europe's largest airline by passenger numbers come days after the Latvian carrier became the first European airline to file for bankruptcy as a result of fallout from the Iran conflict.

Ryanair's Growth Strategy and Regional Impact

Ryanair said it aims to provide 11 million annual seats across Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania by 2031 and base 16 aircraft in the region, up from seven currently.

"This proposal is even more important following airBaltic's announcement that it will shrink its fleet by one-third," Ryanair Chief Commercial Officer Jason McGuinness said in a statement.

airBaltic's Fleet Reduction and Market Response

AirBaltic said in August it planned to reduce its fleet to 36 aircraft by the end of 2026 from 54, with a target of about 40 aircraft by 2031, down from a previous goal of 100.

Bigger Players Swoop on Routes

Airline executives and investors have said the cost crisis triggered by US-Iran war could force smaller national carriers to surrender routes to larger, better-capitalised rivals, including low-cost operators such as Ryanair.

Ryanair's Broader Expansion Objectives

Ryanair's planned expansion forms part of its broader strategy to increase annual passenger traffic to 300 million by 2034 from 208 million in the year to end-March 2026, as it takes delivery of 300 Boeing 737 MAX 10 aircraft from 2027.

Short-Term Route Adjustments

The Irish airline said that in the near term it would add winter flights on 10 Riga routes to locations including Milan, Alicante and Barcelona after a reduction in airport charges.

However, it will cut winter capacity by 25% in Lithuania and Estonia following increases in airport charges there and redeploy that capacity to "more competitive countries" such as Slovakia, Poland, Italy, and Sweden.

(Reporting by Padraic Halpin in Dublin and Yamini Kalia in Bengaluru. Editing by Vijay Kishore and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • Ryanair is capitalising on airBaltic’s Chapter 11 bankruptcy to expand in the Baltics, proposing 11 million seats and 16 bases by 2031 backed by US$1.6 billion investment (marketscreener.com).
  • airBaltic filed for Chapter 11 in New York on September 14, 2026, securing €350 million debtor‑in‑possession financing as it restructures under rising fuel costs tied to the Iran conflict (investing.com).
  • Ryanair’s winter 2026 schedule shows growth in Latvia (+6% in seats at Riga) but reductions (~25%) in Lithuania and Estonia due to rising airport charges, reallocating capacity to more competitive markets (corporate.ryanair.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Ryanair expanding in the Baltic region?
Ryanair is expanding in the Baltic region to capitalize on airBaltic's retrenchment and bankruptcy, aiming to double its passenger numbers over the next five years.
How many seats does Ryanair aim to provide in the Baltics by 2031?
Ryanair targets 11 million annual seats across Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania by 2031.
How is airBaltic's bankruptcy affecting the airline market in the Baltic region?
airBaltic's bankruptcy and reduction in fleet size have created opportunities for larger competitors like Ryanair to absorb routes and increase their presence.
What are Ryanair's short-term changes in the Baltic market?
Ryanair will add winter flights on 10 Riga routes, but will reduce winter capacity by 25% in Lithuania and Estonia due to higher airport charges.
What is Ryanair's long-term passenger target?
Ryanair aims to increase annual passenger traffic to 300 million by 2034, up from 208 million in the year ending March 2026.

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