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Ryanair seeks to double traffic in Baltic region after airBaltic bankruptcy - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Ryanair seeks to double traffic in Baltic region after airBaltic bankruptcy

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on September 17, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: September 17, 2026

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Ryanair to Double Traffic in Baltics After airBaltic Bankruptcy Filing

Ryanair's Expansion Plans in the Baltic Region

By Padraic Halpin

DUBLIN, Sept 17 (Reuters) - Ryanair said on Thursday it plans to double passenger numbers in the Baltic region over the next five years, seeking to capitalise on airBaltic's retrenchment and bankruptcy protection filing.

Background: airBaltic Bankruptcy and Market Impact

The plans by Europe's largest airline by passenger numbers come days after the Latvian carrier became the first European airline to file for bankruptcy as a result of fallout from the Iran conflict.

Ryanair's Strategic Moves

Ryanair said it aims to provide 11 million annual seats across Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania by 2031 and base 16 aircraft in the region, up from seven currently. 

Statements from Ryanair and airBaltic

"This proposal is even more important following airBaltic's announcement that it will shrink its fleet by one-third," Ryanair Chief Commercial Officer Jason McGuinness said in a statement.

AirBaltic said in August it planned to reduce its fleet to 36 aircraft by the end of 2026 from 54, with a target of about 40 aircraft by 2031, down from a previous goal of 100.

"Competition is good for airlines and ultimately good for passengers. At airBaltic, however, we believe connectivity is measured by what you deliver, not by what you promise," the Latvian company told Reuters in a statement on Thursday.

Bigger Players Swoop on Routes

BIGGER PLAYERS SWOOP ON ROUTES

Airline executives and investors have said the cost crisis triggered by the U.S.-Iran war could force smaller national carriers to surrender routes to larger, better-capitalised rivals, including low-cost operators such as Ryanair.

Ryanair's Broader Growth Strategy

Ryanair's planned expansion forms part of its broader strategy to increase annual passenger traffic to 300 million by 2034 from 208 million in the year to end-March 2026, as it takes delivery of 300 Boeing 737 MAX 10 aircraft from 2027.     

Changes to Routes and Capacity

The Irish airline said that in the near term it would add winter flights on 10 Riga routes to locations including Milan, Alicante and Barcelona after a reduction in airport charges.

However, it will cut winter capacity by 25% in Lithuania and Estonia following increases in airport charges there and redeploy that capacity to "more competitive countries" such as Slovakia, Poland, Italy, and Sweden.

Reporting Credits

(Reporting by Padraic Halpin in Dublin, Yamini Kalia in Bengaluru and Gianluca Lo Nostro in Gdansk. Editing by Vijay Kishore and Mark Potter)

Key Takeaways

  • Ryanair’s Baltic expansion aims to fill void as airBaltic scales back under U.S. Chapter 11 protection and fleet cuts to ~36‑40 by 2031, down from 54
  • The plan supports Ryanair’s broader target to grow annual passengers from 208 million (to end‑March 2026) toward 300 million by 2034, fueled by delivery of 300 Boeing 737 MAX 10s
  • Short‑term route strategy includes adding winter flights from Riga while cutting 25% winter capacity in Lithuania and Estonia due to rising airport charges; capacity will shift to more competitive markets

Frequently Asked Questions

Why is Ryanair planning to double its traffic in the Baltic region?
Ryanair aims to capitalize on airBaltic's bankruptcy and plans to increase its presence in Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania by offering more seats and basing additional aircraft.
How many annual seats does Ryanair plan to provide in the Baltics by 2031?
Ryanair targets providing 11 million annual seats across Latvia, Estonia, and Lithuania by 2031.
What impact did airBaltic's bankruptcy have on the Baltic aviation market?
airBaltic's bankruptcy has created an opportunity for larger airlines like Ryanair to expand in the Baltic region by taking over routes and increasing capacity.
Which new routes will Ryanair add in the Baltic region?
Ryanair will add winter flights on 10 Riga routes to destinations such as Milan, Alicante, and Barcelona.
Why is Ryanair reducing winter capacity in Lithuania and Estonia?
Ryanair is cutting winter capacity in Lithuania and Estonia due to increased airport charges and redeploying flights to more competitive markets.

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