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Refinery attacks keep European fuel prices around record highs - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Refinery attacks keep European fuel prices around record highs

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on July 30, 2026

3 min read

· Last updated: July 30, 2026

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Refinery Attacks Keep European Fuel Prices at Near Record Highs

Impact of Refinery Attacks on European Fuel Markets

By Robert Harvey

Rising Fuel Prices and Economic Consequences

LONDON, July 30 (Reuters) - European refiners continued to reap bumper profits for producing fuels such as gasoline and diesel this week, as a wave of attacks on oil refineries in the Middle East and Russia further tightened supply and lifted prices globally.

Soaring fuel prices ripple through the global economy, raising costs for consumers and businesses. Fuel prices are continuing to rise even though crude oil has fallen back to around $90 a barrel - well below 2008's record of $147 - as attacks on refineries due to the wars in Iran and Ukraine have taken out a growing number of major plants that make usable fuels out of crude.

Record Refinery Margins

The premium that European low-sulphur gasoil futures command over the crude oil price, which effectively captures the profit margin refiners make from processing crude oil into diesel, extended its all-time highs on Thursday to $74.66 per barrel.

Both the Middle East and Russia are major exporters of diesel, a fuel used widely in industry, agriculture and transport. Refinery profit margins for producing diesel jumped to all-time highs earlier in July and carried on rising  as attacks persist.

Expert Insights

"The market is signalling that refining capacity is now as significant a problem as crude oil scarcity, if not a greater one," Jeffrey Baird, founder of investment firm Merritt Point Partners, said.

Refinery Shutdowns and Supply Disruptions

Middle East Refinery Closures

Saudi Arabia shut down its 400,000 barrel-per-day Jizan oil refinery on July 27 following an attack by Yemen's Houthis. The refinery exported more than 200,000 bpd of fuels over the past three months, according to data from analytics firm Kpler, with diesel and gasoil the main products.

Parts of Kuwait's 615,000 bpd Al-Zour refinery, another major diesel producer, have also shut down due to a power cut.

Russian Refinery Attacks

At the same time, Ukraine's drone attacks have continued to hit Russian refining capacity, forcing the Kremlin to impose gasoline and diesel export bans.

Lukoil's refinery in Perm, which has a capacity of approximately 260,000 bpd, was the latest to shut down one of its crude distillation units, on Thursday, after a drone attack. 

European Fuel Margins and Market Data

Gasoline and Jet Fuel Margins

Gasoline refining margins have also hit multi-year highs in recent weeks. European benchmark Eurobob gasoline's premium to Brent futures was at $42.21 per barrel on Wednesday, not far from the four-year high of $44.94 touched on July 17, LSEG data showed.  

European jet fuel refining margins remained above $80 per barrel on July 29 according to LSEG data, although were down from their all-time high of almost $109 in March. Before 2026, the margin had never reached $80, the data shows.

(Reporting by Robert Harvey in London, editing by Alex Lawler and Kirsten Donovan)

Key Takeaways

  • Middle East and Russian refinery disruptions—including Saudi Arabia’s Jizan shutdown (July 27) and widespread Ukrainian drone strikes—have significantly tightened fuel supplies.(brecorder.com)
  • European diesel refining margins have soared to all-time highs (around $65/bbl), while gasoline and jet fuel margins remain near multi-year peaks.(miningweekly.com)
  • Analysts and refiners—including Goldman Sachs and Repsol—expect elevated refining margins to persist through 2026 and into 2027 amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil.(sahmcapital.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why are European fuel prices rising despite lower crude oil prices?
European fuel prices are rising due to attacks on refineries in the Middle East and Russia, which are reducing supply and causing profit margins to surge, even though crude oil prices have declined.
How have refinery attacks affected diesel profit margins?
Refinery attacks have pushed European diesel profit margins to all-time highs, with the low-sulphur gasoil futures premium reaching $74.66 per barrel.
What is the impact of refinery shutdowns in the Middle East and Russia?
Shutdowns of major refineries in Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, and Russia have significantly reduced the export of fuels like diesel and gasoline, tightening supply and driving up prices.
Which oil refineries have recently been attacked or shut down?
Saudi Arabia's Jizan refinery, Kuwait's Al-Zour refinery, and Russia's Lukoil Perm refinery have all experienced shutdowns due to attacks or power cuts.
What are current profit margins for gasoline and jet fuel in Europe?
Gasoline refining margins have hit multi-year highs, while European jet fuel refining margins remained above $80 per barrel in late July.

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