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Pernod Ricard warns China, U.S. weakness to hit Q1 - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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Pernod Ricard warns China, U.S. weakness to hit Q1

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on August 27, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: August 27, 2026

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Pernod Ricard Warns of Ongoing Sales Decline in China and US for Q1 2026

Financial Performance and Market Outlook

By Dominique Vidalon

Fiscal Year 2026 Results

PARIS, Aug 27 (Reuters) - French spirits and wine group Pernod Ricard reported a worse-than-expected 3.9% organic sales decline in its fiscal year 2026 on Thursday, hit by persistent weak demand in the U.S. and China and disruption to tourism from a prolonged conflict in the Middle East.

This was Pernod Ricard's third consecutive year of sales decline and recovery prospects for the current year that started on July 1 looked muted.

Outlook for Q1 2026

Pernod, the second-largest spirits group behind Diageo, predicted organic net sales to be broadly stable, with the U.S. and Chinese markets still hit by inventory adjustments in the first quarter.

Medium-Term Guidance

The maker of Martell cognac and Absolut vodka also trimmed its medium-term sales growth guidance, citing current weakness in the U.S. market.

It is now projecting organic net sales growth to be on average closer to the lower end of a 3% to 6% sales growth range between 2027 and 2029.

Challenges in Key Markets

Spirits companies are battling a multi-year slump in sales that has prompted valuations to slide, CEOs to exit and companies to sell assets and cut costs. In the key U.S. and Chinese markets, sales have dropped amid tariff threats, destocking and a sluggish Chinese economy.

Pernod Ricard said sales declined by 14% in the United States and 19% in China as a weak economic climate and regulatory measures hit demand for prestige brands, notably Martell.

Group Sales and Profit

Overall group sales reached €9.4 billion ($10.96 billion) in the 12 months to June 30, 2026, representing an organic decline of 3.9% which was worse than the 3.7% contraction expected by analysts, according to a company-compiled consensus.

Profit from recurring operations stood at €2.42 billion, marking an organic decline of 5.2%, which was better than the 5.9% fall expected by analysts.

Dividend and Currency Note

Pernod kept its 2026 dividend stable at €4.70 per share.

($1 = 0.8580 euros)

(Reporting by Dominique Vidalon, Editing by Inti Landauro and Tomasz Janowski)

Key Takeaways

  • Organic net sales declined 3.9% in FY 2026 to €9.40 billion, underperforming the 3.7% drop analysts expected (aol.com).
  • Sales in the U.S. and China fell sharply—14% and 19%, respectively—amid weak economic conditions, inventory adjustments, and regulatory pressure (pernod-ricard.com).
  • Pernod Ricard forecasts FY 2027 organic sales to be broadly stable, while reducing its medium‑term growth outlook to nearer the lower end of a 3%‑6% range for 2027–2029 (pernod-ricard.com).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Pernod Ricard report a sales decline in 2026?
The company cited persistent weak demand in the U.S. and China, as well as disrupted tourism from Middle East conflicts.
How much did Pernod Ricard's organic sales decline?
Pernod Ricard's organic sales declined by 3.9% in its fiscal year 2026.
What is the outlook for Pernod Ricard's Q1 performance?
Recovery prospects remain muted, with continued weakness expected in the U.S. and Chinese markets due to inventory adjustments.
Which products were especially affected by the sales decline?
Martell cognac was notably impacted in China due to weak economic conditions and regulatory measures.
What is Pernod Ricard's dividend policy for 2026?
The company kept its 2026 dividend stable at €4.70 per share.

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