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Oil little changed on uncertainty over US-Iran peace deal

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 5, 2026

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· Last updated: June 5, 2026

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Oil Prices Steady as Uncertainty Remains Over US-Iran Peace Deal and Middle East Tensions

By Florence Tan

Market Reactions and Ongoing Geopolitical Tensions

SINGAPORE, June 5 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed on Friday following sharp declines in the previous session, with prospects dimming for a near-term end to the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran after the Hezbollah militia rejected a new ceasefire in Lebanon.

Oil Price Movements

Brent crude futures fell 21 cents, or 0.22%, to $95.24 a barrel by 0003 GMT after settling down 2.84% in the previous session.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude was at $92.94 a barrel, down 10 cents, or 0.11%, following a 3.1% loss on Thursday.

Weekly Performance and Middle East Impact

Both contracts are set to post their first weekly gain in three weeks, with WTI up more than 6%, after fighting flared up in the Middle East as U.S.-Iran war peace talks dragged on while traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, where a fifth of the world's oil passes, remained limited.

Analyst Concerns Over Inventories

Analysts have flagged concerns of falling oil inventories globally that could cause a price spike in the third quarter.

Geopolitical Developments

Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem rejected on Thursday a U.S.-brokered agreement between Israel and the Lebanese government to halt the fighting. Iran has made a ceasefire in Lebanon a condition for any peace deal with Washington.

U.S. President Donald Trump said on Thursday he believed progress was being made between Israel and Lebanon and that Lebanon deserved to have peace.

Market Sentiment and Technical Analysis

"Any optimism remains heavily clouded by a tangled web of headlines and counter-headlines," IG market analyst Tony Sycamore said in a note.

"From a technical perspective, as long as (WTI) crude oil remains above trendline support in the low $80s, the risks remain skewed to the upside."

OPEC and Iranian Oil Exports

OPEC is sticking to its oil demand growth forecast of 1.2 million barrels per day for this year, Secretary General Haitham Al Ghais said on Thursday, despite the Middle East conflict and closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

Iranian oil exports have fallen to their lowest level in six years mainly due to the U.S. naval blockade, according to shipping data, although weak demand in China has depressed prices for the oil.

(Reporting by Florence Tan; Editing by Sonali Paul)

Key Takeaways

  • Hezbollah’s rejection of the U.S.–brokered Israel–Lebanon ceasefire dims near‑term prospects for a U.S.–Iran peace deal, sustaining uncertainty in oil markets. (axios.com)
  • Oil prices held steady on June 5—Brent at about $95.24/barrel and WTI at $92.94—after declines of roughly 2.8 % and 3.1 %, respectively, in the prior session. (ca.investing.com)
  • Markets remain wary as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz stays constrained amid the protracted conflict, while analysts warn of dwindling global oil inventories that could drive prices higher later in the year. (ca.investing.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why did oil prices remain steady despite previous declines?
Oil prices held steady as uncertainty over a US-Iran peace deal and ongoing Middle East tensions offset sharp declines in the previous session.
How are Middle East tensions impacting oil prices?
Fighting in the Middle East and uncertainty around US-Iran peace talks have caused volatility and concerns over oil supply, preventing further price drops.
What role does the Strait of Hormuz play in oil prices?
The Strait of Hormuz is a key route for global oil shipments, and limited traffic due to conflict has contributed to uncertainty in oil markets.
How have Iranian oil exports been affected?
Iranian oil exports have dropped to their lowest levels in six years, mainly due to the US naval blockade, impacting the overall oil supply.

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