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Germans wary of VAT rise to fund income tax cuts, survey shows

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 26, 2026

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· Last updated: May 26, 2026

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Survey: Germans Oppose VAT Hike to Finance Planned Income Tax Cuts

Public Opinion on VAT Increase for Income Tax Reform

By Maria Martinez

Survey Findings and Public Sentiment

BERLIN, May 26 (Reuters) - Germans are largely opposed to raising value-added taxes to finance income tax relief, with many saying such a move would make them save more rather than spend, a survey by the Nuremberg Institute for Market Decisions (NIM) showed on Tuesday.

Details of the Proposed Tax Reform

In the study, respondents were presented with a scenario in which income tax was cut by €100 ($108) per month while higher VAT added €40 in monthly costs. Only one in four viewed such a reform positively, while 42% assessed it negatively.

Germany plans an income tax reform from early 2027, with some experts proposing a VAT increase from 19% to 21% to help finance it.

Demographic Breakdown of Opposition

Opposition was strongest among older people and those on low incomes. Among respondents with less than €2,000 available per month, 18% supported the idea and 48% opposed it. Even among those with incomes of 4,000 euros or more, opposition outweighed support.

Impact on Private Consumption

"A VAT increase would be the nail in the coffin for private consumption in Germany," the institute said.

Behavioral Responses and Expert Commentary

More than half of respondents said such a reform would not boost consumption but increase their propensity to save. 

"Many people notice rising prices in everyday life immediately and react sensitively to them — much more strongly than to additional income leeway," NIM study leader Katharina Gangl told Reuters.

(Reporting by Rene Wagner, writing by Maria MartinezEditing by Ludwig Burger)

Key Takeaways

  • Just 1 in 4 Germans view VAT‑funded income‑tax relief positively, while 42% oppose it, per NIM survey.
  • Support is weakest among older people and low‑income households (under €2,000 available monthly: 18% support vs 48% oppose).
  • Even higher‑income groups lean more negative than positive, with many saying a VAT hike would boost saving over consumption.
  • Germany’s income‑tax reform, planned for January 1, 2027, may be financed by raising VAT to 21% (from 19%)—aimed to cover roughly €16 billion additional revenue.
  • Consumer sentiment remains fragile: recent NIM data show cautious saving and subdued willingness to buy, despite modest improvement in income expectations.

Frequently Asked Questions

What percentage of Germans support raising VAT to fund income tax cuts?
Only about 25% of Germans viewed raising VAT to fund income tax cuts positively, while 42% assessed it negatively.
How would a VAT increase affect German consumer spending?
More than half of survey respondents said a VAT increase would make them save more rather than spend, reducing private consumption.
Which groups are most opposed to a VAT increase in Germany?
Opposition is strongest among older people and those on low incomes, with only 18% of respondents with less than €2,000 per month supporting the idea.
What is the proposed VAT increase in Germany?
Some experts have proposed raising Germany's VAT from 19% to 21% to help finance planned income tax reforms.
When is Germany planning to introduce the income tax reform?
Germany plans to implement the income tax reform from early 2027.

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