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High inflation has become embedded in Britain, Bank of England's Mann says - Finance news and analysis from Global Banking & Finance Review
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High inflation has become embedded in Britain, Bank of England's Mann says

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on October 6, 2026

2 min read

· Last updated: October 6, 2026

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Bank of England's Mann Says Inflation Now Embedded in British Economy

Inflation Trends and Bank of England Policy Responses

LONDON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - Inflation running above the Bank of England's 2% target appears to have become embedded in the British economy and risks getting further entrenched in wage negotiations early next year, BoE policymaker Catherine Mann said on Tuesday.

Bank of England's Interest Rate Decisions

Mann said last week that the BoE had erred in March, just after the start of the Iran war, by letting investors think it was happy to take a wait-and-see approach to raising rates. She voted in July and September for a quarter-point hike.

Inflation Persistence and Policy Challenges

"We've had inflation well above target for the entire time that I've been in my position.... And so inflation has become embedded," Mann, who joined the MPC in 2021, said at a conference hosted by economic advisors TS Lombard.

Comparison with Other Central Banks

Unlike the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve, the BoE has kept interest rates unchanged since the outbreak of the Iran war, although financial markets do now expect a move at its November meeting.

Wage Negotiations and Labour Market Concerns

Mann said she was particularly concerned that inflation looked set to hit 4% around the turn of the year, the most common period for employers to negotiate annual pay increases.

Other MPC members have said they will look for early signs of outsize wage increases, but have highlighted a weaker job market than when inflation last surged in 2022.

Business Adaptation and Productivity Data

Mann said she did not think economic demand in Britain was strong, but it was positive. Businesses she had visited appeared to be adjusting to higher energy costs, for example a manufacturer which was installing solar panels.

Moreover, recent upward revisions to labour productivity data were driven by downward adjustments to hours worked – something she said might limit the economy's capacity to deliver non-inflationary growth in future.

(Reporting by David Milliken; editing by William James and Suban Abdulla)

Key Takeaways

  • Catherine Mann says inflation above the 2% target has become embedded in the UK economy, risking further entrenchment in wage-setting. (lse.co.uk)
  • Mann warns inflation could reach around 4% around the turn of the year—the typical timeframe for wage negotiations—raising the prospect of second‑round effects. (lse.co.uk)
  • Since July, Mann has been in the minority voting for a 25bp rate hike, reflecting her concern over persistent inflation pressures. (lse.co.uk)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does Catherine Mann believe inflation is embedded in the UK economy?
Mann states inflation has been above target since she joined the MPC, becoming persistent and evident in ongoing economic indicators.
How has the Bank of England responded to rising inflation?
While other central banks raised interest rates, the BoE kept rates unchanged since the Iran war but may move at its November meeting.
What risks does embedded inflation pose for the UK?
Embedded inflation could get further entrenched in wage negotiations, especially with inflation expected to be around 4% early next year.
What is the impact of recent productivity data on UK inflation?
Mann noted that upward revisions in productivity data were due to fewer hours worked, which may limit the capacity for non-inflationary growth.
Are UK businesses adapting to ongoing inflation?
Yes, businesses are adjusting, for instance by investing in energy-saving solutions like solar panels to offset higher costs.

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