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    1. Home
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    3. >UK inflation seen at 2.3% in 2026, Reeves says
    Finance

    UK Inflation Seen at 2.3% in 2026, Reeves Says

    Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®

    Posted on March 3, 2026

    1 min read

    Last updated: April 2, 2026

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    Quick Summary

    According to budget update remarks by UK Chancellor Rachel Reeves on March 3, OBR forecasts show UK consumer price inflation will average 2.3% in 2026—down from the 2.5% projection made in November—and is expected to reach the Bank of England’s 2% target from 2027. External risks such as surging ene

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    UK Inflation to Average 2.3% in 2026 According to OBR Forecasts

    Overview of UK Inflation Forecasts and Economic Outlook

    Latest OBR Projections for Inflation

    LONDON, March 3 (Reuters) - British consumer price inflation is set to average 2.3% in 2026, according to estimates from the Office for Budget Responsibility, finance minister Rachel Reeves said in a budget update speech on Tuesday.

    Comparison with Previous Forecasts

    In November, when Reeves announced a full budget, the OBR said it expected inflation of 2.5% this year.

    Recent Inflation Trends

    Since then, inflation readings have come in lower than expected and is likely to fall close to the Bank of England's 2% target in April.

    Long-Term Inflation Expectations

    Forecasts for 2027 and 2028

    The OBR said it now expected inflation in 2027 and 2028 of 2.0%, in line with November's forecasts.

    Potential Risks and Global Factors

    Impact of Middle East Conflict on Energy Prices

    The watchdog's forecasts were made before the recent escalation of conflict in the Middle East which has pushed up global energy prices and raised concerns among investors about a fresh rise in inflaton.

    (Reporting by David Milliken Writing by William Schomberg; editing by William James)

    References

    • UK inflation seen at 2.3% in 2026, Reeves says (Reuters via Yahoo Finance)
    • Factbox‑Key points in UK’s Reeves budget update speech (Reuters via Investing.com)

    Table of Contents

    • Overview of UK Inflation Forecasts and Economic Outlook
    • Latest OBR Projections for Inflation

    Key Takeaways

    • •OBR revises UK inflation forecast for 2026 down to 2.3%, previously 2.5%
    • •Inflation expected to reach the 2% target in 2027 and 2028, consistent with prior view
    • •Rising energy prices amid Middle East conflict present a potential upside risk to inflation outlook

    Frequently Asked Questions about UK inflation seen at 2.3% in 2026, Reeves says

    1Who announced the latest UK inflation estimates?

    Finance minister Rachel Reeves announced the estimates during a budget update speech.

    2What are the inflation expectations for 2027 and 2028?

    Inflation is expected to be 2.0% in both 2027 and 2028 according to the OBR.

    Comparison with Previous Forecasts
  • Recent Inflation Trends
  • Long-Term Inflation Expectations
  • Forecasts for 2027 and 2028
  • Potential Risks and Global Factors
  • Impact of Middle East Conflict on Energy Prices
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