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One in six UK young people risk falling outside job market or education, report warns

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on May 27, 2026

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· Last updated: May 27, 2026

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One in Six Young People in the UK at Risk of Leaving Job Market or Education

Rising NEET Rates and the Challenges Facing Young People in the UK

By David Milliken

Current Trends in Youth Unemployment

LONDON, May 27 (Reuters) - The proportion of young people in Britain who are not in employment, education or training (NEETs) risks rising to one in six within five years from one in eight currently, according to a new government-commissioned report.

In recent decades Britain has had fairly low youth unemployment by European standards. But since the COVID-19 pandemic, the proportion of 16-24 year-olds outside the job market or education has risen and is now near a 10-year high at close to 1 million, or 13% of the age group.

Concerns Over a "Lost Generation"

"Detachment is no longer temporary. For too many young people it is becoming permanent. We are at risk of a lost generation," former health minister Alan Milburn said in remarks ahead of the report's publication on Thursday.

Milburn is due to set out detailed policy changes to address the problem later this year.

Factors Contributing to Youth Inactivity

The Role of the Welfare System and Job Market Changes

But his report blamed the welfare system for "exacerbating inactivity" and highlighted a sharp drop in the number of low- and medium-skilled entry-level jobs, despite buoyancy in the broader labour market for much of the past decade.

Work and pensions minister Pat McFadden welcomed the report and said it showed "the scale of the challenge and the root causes of youth unemployment we now need to confront."

Support for NEETs and Barriers to Employment

Milburn's report said that while 84% of NEETs wanted a job or training, only £1 was spent on employment support for every £25 in welfare payments for that age group.

"The first rung of the career ladder has thinned," Milburn said. "Employers ask for work experience but the opportunities for young people to gain it have narrowed or gone."

The Role of Apprenticeships and Employer Perspectives

In recent years, British governments have sought to expand apprenticeships, which play a much smaller role than in countries such as Germany or the Netherlands and vary widely in the quality of training and career prospects they offer.

Responding to the report, the chief executive of retailer Marks & Spencer, Stuart Machin, said the findings were "shocking but not surprising" and matched the concerns of his staff and customers.

Employment Costs and Other Influences

Minimum Wage Increases and Their Impact

Many employers blame higher employment costs including a minimum wage which has risen sharply as successive governments sought to lift it to two thirds of median earnings, with the biggest rises for younger workers.

But research from the Institute for Fiscal Studies published last week did not find conclusive evidence that this had reduced employment meaningfully.

Other Factors Not Directly Addressed

The summary of Milburn's report did not directly address the role of higher employment costs or increasing rates of mental ill health reported by younger people.

(Reporting by David Milliken; editing by William Schomberg)

Key Takeaways

  • Current NEET rate for UK youth aged 16‑24 stands at approximately 12.8%, equating to around 957,000 individuals — the highest level in over a decade (ons.gov.uk).
  • Research suggests NEET proportions are higher in disadvantaged groups, with UCL estimating 14% of 23‑year‑olds are NEET and a quarter from low‑income backgrounds affected versus 7% from affluent families (ucl.ac.uk).
  • The youth inactivity review led by Alan Milburn highlights structural issues: only £1 spent on youth employment support for every £25 in welfare benefits, alongside a decline in low‑ and middle‑skilled jobs and thin “first rungs” in career ladders.
  • Resolution Foundation warns that UK now has one of the highest NEET rates among wealthy European nations — around 15% for 18‑24‑year‑olds, far above rates in Germany or the Netherlands (theguardian.com).
  • High youth employment costs have sharply increased: for 18–20‑year‑olds, the annual cost to employers rose by 26% from 2024 to 2026, and 25% for apprentices, which may deter hiring (cps.org.uk).

References

Frequently Asked Questions

What proportion of UK young people are currently NEETs?
About 13% of UK 16-24 year-olds are currently not in employment, education, or training (NEETs).
How might the NEET rate change in the next five years?
The NEET rate in the UK could rise to one in six young people within five years, up from one in eight today.
What factors are contributing to rising youth unemployment in the UK?
Contributing factors include a decline in entry-level jobs, limited youth employment support, and the impacts of the welfare system.
How much is spent on employment support compared to welfare for young people?
Only £1 is spent on employment support for every £25 spent on welfare payments for young people.
What solutions are being considered to address youth unemployment?
Policy changes and improved apprenticeship schemes are being evaluated to better support young people entering the job market.

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