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Iranian oil slips to discount on poor Chinese demand despite tighter supply

Published by Global Banking & Finance Review

Posted on June 4, 2026

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· Last updated: June 4, 2026

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Iranian oil slips to discount on poor Chinese demand despite tighter supply

Overview of Iranian and Russian Oil Prices in China

(Corrects OilX data in paragraph 12)

By Siyi Liu

Recent Price Trends and Market Reactions

SINGAPORE, June 4 (Reuters) - Iranian oil prices slipped into discounts for the first time since April, while Russian crude premiums eased as traders cut prices to entice Chinese buyers amid sluggish demand, trade sources said.

The drop in prices of Iranian and Russian crude in the world's top buyer is expected to weigh on oil revenues in Russia and Iran, which is also facing a U.S. blockade that has severely reduced its exports.

Discounts and Premiums for Iranian and Russian Crude

Iranian Light crude cargoes are being offered at a discount of 50 cents to $1 per barrel to ICE Brent contract for delivery to China's eastern province of Shandong this month, three traders said, down from premiums of $1 to $2 in the past two months.

Shandong is home to independent refiners, also known as teapots, which are the main consumers of sanctioned oil.

Prices of Russian ESPO, another popular grade for the independent refiners, have also weakened to a premium of about $3 to $4 a barrel to ICE Brent for June delivery, down from $4 to $5 last month, two of them said.

Impact on Independent Refiners ("Teapots")

"Buyers aren't accelerating procurement even if supply is tight, because prices are still too high for teapots who are suffering great losses," said Xu Muyu, Kpler's senior crude oil analyst.

"Also teapots are lowering run rates, so demand is also coming down."

Faced with mounting losses from elevated oil costs and weak fuel demand, some of the independent refiners cut runs in May.

In May China's Iranian crude imports fell to 1.10 million barrels per day, the lowest since January 2025, while imports of Russian crude hit 1.04 million bpd, the lowest since August, Kpler data showed.

Iran Crude Exports and Oil in Transit

Sharp Decline in Iranian Oil Exports

IRAN CRUDE EXPORTS, OIL IN TRANSIT FALLS

The weakness in Iranian oil prices comes despite a collapse in its exports and lower stockpiles overseas.

Iran's crude exports in May hit a six-year low of 260,000 barrels per day, less than a fifth of the 2025 average at 1.67 million bpd, Kpler data showed.

OilX data showed Iran's crude oil exports at 350,000 bpd in May, compared with the 2025 average of 1.7 million bpd.

Stockpiles and Oil on Water

Iranian oil on water outside the blockade zone has fallen to about 79 million barrels from about 130 million in mid-April when the U.S. blockade began, Kpler's Xu said.

(Reporting by Siyi Liu in Singapore; Editing by Florence Tan and Clarence Fernandez)

Key Takeaways

  • Iran Light crude offered at 50¢–$1 under ICE Brent for Shandong delivery in June, down from $1–$2 premiums in prior months — reflecting teapots’ reluctance amid losses and lower run rates (marketscreener.com)
  • Russian ESPO Blend premiums softened to about $4–$5 over ICE Brent for end‑June/July cargoes into China, easing from $6–$7 in May, as weak refining margins and slowed buying weight on demand (hydrocarbonprocessing.com)
  • China’s independent refiners—especially in Shandong—cut operating rates to roughly 50% in May (down from 55% in April), due to mounting losses from high crude costs and soft fuel demand (marketscreener.com)
  • Iran’s crude exports fell sharply: May exports hit a six-year low of ~260,000 bpd (vs 1.67 million bpd in 2025 average), with oil on water outside the blockade zone down to about 79 million barrels from 130 million mid‑April (en.wikipedia.org)
  • The U.S. naval blockade imposed since mid‑April 2026 has cost Iran an estimated $4.8 billion in oil revenue through May 1, intensifying economic pressure (axios.com)

References

Frequently Asked Questions

Why have Iranian oil prices slipped into discounts in China?
Iranian oil prices slipped to discounts due to weak demand from Chinese buyers and independent refiners, despite tighter overall supply.
How has reduced Chinese demand affected Russian crude prices?
Reduced Chinese demand caused Russian ESPO crude premiums to ease as traders offered lower prices to attract buyers.
What is the current discount for Iranian Light crude offered to China?
Iranian Light crude cargoes are being offered at a discount of 50 cents to $1 per barrel to ICE Brent for June delivery.
How have Iranian crude exports changed recently?
Iranian crude exports fell to a six-year low of 260,000 barrels per day in May, far below the 2025 average.
What impact has the US blockade had on Iranian oil in transit?
The US blockade has reduced Iranian oil on water outside the blockade zone to about 79 million barrels, down from 130 million in April.

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