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Global oil supply growth is outstripping demand, Gunvor CEO says
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on March 10, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 24, 2026
Global Banking & Finance Review®
Company
Published by Global Banking & Finance Review®
Posted on March 10, 2025
3 min readLast updated: January 24, 2026
Gunvor CEO states global oil supply growth is outpacing demand, affecting prices and market stability.
By Arathy Somasekhar
HOUSTON (Reuters) - Global oil supply growth is outstripping demand, the CEO of one of the world's largest oil traders Gunvor said on Monday.
Oil prices hit a three-year low last week due to slow demand growth in China and concerns about the impact on global economic growth of U.S. President Donald Trump's protectionist trade policies.
"We still see demand growth in the world, but it's not that big," Gunvor CEO Torbjorn Tornqvist said in an interview with Reuters on the sidelines of an energy industry conference in Houston.
"That's the problem."
Demand for gasoline and diesel has reached a plateau in China, the world's second largest consumer, Tornqvist said. The rapid rollout of electric vehicles in China has eaten into gasoline demand, while a growing number of trucks running on natural gas has hit diesel demand.
The balance of supply and demand was loosening, he said. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries decided to make small monthly increases in output from April onwards as it seeks to roll back millions of barrels per day of cuts.
That increment was so small it was a "rounding error," Tornqvist said. However, the spare capacity that the group has offline continued to weigh on the market, he added.
"I think the fact that you do have that capacity will always be a damper on prices," Tornqvist said.
Global benchmark Brent crude was trading under $70 a barrel on Monday, after hitting its lowest level since December 2021 last week at $68.33.
If crude prices fall another $5 to $6, it is unlikely that U.S. shale oil producers would further grow output, the CEO added.
Uncertainty over tariffs and sanctions and their impact on the economy and the energy industry were contributing to volatility, he said.
"It's uncertainty," he said. "There are so many variables here. We have a bit of risk off everywhere."
Tornqvist said he was unsure how quickly sanctions on Russian oil could be lifted if Russia and Ukraine come to a peace deal over the war.
Europe would likely go back to buying Russian oil and gas if sanctions were lifted, he said, but it was unlikely that all damaged or shutdown gas pipelines would come back online.
Fuel demand in Southeast Asia was a bright spot, and continues to grow, he said.
(Reporting by Arathy Somasekhar in Houston; Editing by Simon Webb and Marguerita Choy)
Tornqvist stated that while there is still demand growth in the world, it is not significant, particularly noting that demand for gasoline and diesel in China has plateaued.
The rapid rollout of electric vehicles in China has significantly reduced gasoline demand, contributing to the overall slowdown in oil demand growth.
Brent crude was trading under $70 a barrel, having recently hit its lowest level since December 2021 at $68.33.
Tornqvist mentioned that uncertainty over tariffs and sanctions contributes to market volatility, affecting both the economy and the energy industry.
Tornqvist highlighted that fuel demand in Southeast Asia remains a bright spot and continues to grow, contrasting with the stagnation seen in other regions.
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